XPO, Inc.
In the published model solve dated 2026-Q2, anchored at $200.19, XPO, Inc. (XPO) is priced for today's economics sustained for ~12.5 years. boothcheck publishes no house fair value, target price, or buy/sell rating; individual model outputs and user-controlled scenarios are analytical inputs, not Boothcheck targets. The narrative was composed June 28, 2026 from SEC EDGAR filings.
• XPO is a freight company in the middle of becoming a different one: it runs a large North American less-than-truckload network that moved roughly 16 billion pounds of freight in 2025 in a U.S. LTL market the 10-K sizes at ⟦"$53 billion in 2024"⟧, while management treats the European business as non-core and intends to sell it to become a pure-play North American carrier. • The defining risk is leverage stacked on a cyclical business: net debt sits near five times trailing operating income with
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651 institutional managers reported holding XPO in 13F filings for the quarter ended 2026-03-31. 124 opened new positions that quarter. Held by BlackRock, Vanguard Group, Capital Group (American Funds), among others. On the short side, 6.6M shares were sold short as of the 2026-06-15 count, about 6% of shares outstanding (4.5 days of typical volume to cover).
Quarterly 13F filings arrive up to 45 days after quarter end, so the picture is never current (filed through 2026-05-29). Nothing here is investment advice.
XPO has cut its share count 37.9% over the past five years, spending $155.00M on repurchases. It pays no dividend. Cash returned over the past three years: $155.00M in repurchases.
Share counts are split-adjusted; repurchase totals are gross of share issuance. Nothing here is investment advice.
Open-market insider buys at XPO over the trailing three years: 2023: 1 buy totaling $120k; 2025: 1 buy totaling $200k. 12 officers and directors are on file.
Code P open-market purchases from SEC Form 4 filings, non-derivative, excluding scheduled 10b5-1 plans. Nothing here is investment advice.
XPO's recent reports: the day-one move, then what the following quarter actually did.
| report | day one | next quarter |
|---|---|---|
| 2023-08-05 | +4.2% | +8.1% |
| 2023-10-31 | +12.6% | +12.0% |
| 2024-02-09 | +20.4% | +4.1% |
| 2024-05-04 | +3.3% | -5.3% |
Day-one is the close-to-close move around the filing. Nothing here is investment advice.
XPO's latest 8-K filings: 2026-07-30 (items 7.01, 9.01); 2026-07-30 (items 2.02, 9.01); 2026-07-27 (items 5.02, 8.01, 9.01); 2026-06-03 (items 7.01, 9.01); 2026-06-01 (items 1.01, 2.03, 9.01).
Item codes are the SEC's own classification of what each report discloses. Dates link to the filing on EDGAR. Nothing here is investment advice.
Model solve date: 2026-Q2
Narrative composed: June 28, 2026
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For informational and research purposes only. Not investment advice. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. boothcheck is not a registered investment adviser. Past performance does not guarantee future results.