VALVOLINE INC.
In the published model solve dated 2026-Q2, anchored at $36.99, VALVOLINE INC. (VVV) is priced for +9.2% growth. boothcheck publishes no house fair value, target price, or buy/sell rating; individual model outputs and user-controlled scenarios are analytical inputs, not Boothcheck targets. The narrative was composed June 28, 2026 from SEC EDGAR filings.
• Valvoline is now a pure-play retail oil-change and quick-service auto chain after selling its products business, running ⟦"approximately 15-minute stay-in-your-car oil changes"⟧ plus batteries, wipers, and tire rotations across a growing store network. • The defining risk is the leverage funding the expansion: net debt sits near $1.8 billion, more than six times operating income, as the company buys both new stores and its own shares. • What to watch is store count and same-store sales: system
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399 institutional managers reported holding VVV in 13F filings for the quarter ended 2026-03-31. 75 opened new positions that quarter. Held by Vanguard Group, BlackRock, Wellington Management, among others. On the short side, 16.1M shares were sold short as of the 2026-06-15 count, about 13% of shares outstanding (7.3 days of typical volume to cover).
Quarterly 13F filings arrive up to 45 days after quarter end, so the picture is never current (filed through 2026-05-29). Nothing here is investment advice.
VVV has cut its share count 29.8% over the past five years, spending $2.00B on repurchases. It pays no dividend. Cash returned over the past three years: $432.90M in repurchases.
Share counts are split-adjusted; repurchase totals are gross of share issuance. Nothing here is investment advice.
Open-market insider buys at VVV over the trailing three years: 2023: 4 buys totaling $756k; 2024: 2 buys totaling $494k; 2025: 8 buys totaling $1.06M. 14 officers and directors are on file.
Code P open-market purchases from SEC Form 4 filings, non-derivative, excluding scheduled 10b5-1 plans. Nothing here is investment advice.
VVV's recent reports: the day-one move, then what the following quarter actually did.
| report | day one | next quarter |
|---|---|---|
| 2023-08-10 | -4.8% | -7.5% |
| 2023-11-21 | +8.3% | +6.0% |
| 2024-02-07 | +7.0% | +10.5% |
| 2024-05-11 | -5.1% | +9.0% |
Day-one is the close-to-close move around the filing. Nothing here is investment advice.
VVV's latest 8-K filings: 2026-08-05 (items 2.02, 7.01, 9.01); 2026-07-23 (items 5.02, 9.01); 2026-06-30 (items 1.01, 2.03, 9.01); 2026-05-07 (items 2.02, 7.01, 9.01); 2026-03-09 (items 5.02).
Item codes are the SEC's own classification of what each report discloses. Dates link to the filing on EDGAR. Nothing here is investment advice.
Model solve date: 2026-Q2
Narrative composed: June 28, 2026
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For informational and research purposes only. Not investment advice. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. boothcheck is not a registered investment adviser. Past performance does not guarantee future results.