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NVDA

NVIDIA CORP

In the published model solve dated 2026-Q2, anchored at $217.88, NVIDIA CORP (NVDA) is priced for +45.4% growth. boothcheck publishes no house fair value, target price, or buy/sell rating; individual model outputs and user-controlled scenarios are analytical inputs, not Boothcheck targets. The narrative was composed August 7, 2026 from SEC EDGAR filings.

Published model solve
+45.4% growth
Priced In
within-range

Key Takeaways

• Data Center is now nine tenths of the revenue base, and the compute-and-networking side of the company earned 130.1 billion dollars of operating profit on 193.5 billion dollars of sales in the fiscal year to January 2026, a segment operating margin above 67%. • Two customers are the concentration risk in one line: the FY2026 annual report states that ⟦"sales to one direct customer represented 22% of total revenue and sales to another direct customer represented 14% of total revenue"⟧, and bot

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Institutional ownership

5,700 institutional managers reported holding NVDA in 13F filings for the quarter ended 2026-03-31. Together they hold about 64% of the company; the top 10 hold 34%. 156 opened new positions that quarter. Held by Vanguard Group, BlackRock, State Street, among others. On the short side, 299.7M shares were sold short as of the 2026-06-15 count, about 1% of shares outstanding (1.8 days of typical volume to cover).

Quarterly 13F filings arrive up to 45 days after quarter end, so the picture is never current (filed through 2026-05-29). Nothing here is investment advice.

Capital returns

NVDA has cut its share count 2.6% over the past five years, spending $112.68B on repurchases. It pays a dividend, and has for 13 years running, raised 2 years straight; the current rate is $0.04 a share annually. Cash returned over the past three years: $2.35B in dividends and $102.64B in repurchases.

Share counts are split-adjusted; repurchase totals are gross of share issuance. Nothing here is investment advice.

Insider activity

No open-market insider buys on file at NVDA over the trailing three years. Absence is a fact about the company, not a signal. 18 officers and directors are on file.

Code P open-market purchases from SEC Form 4 filings, non-derivative, excluding scheduled 10b5-1 plans. Nothing here is investment advice.

Earnings reactions

NVDA's recent reports: the day-one move, then what the following quarter actually did.

reportday onenext quarter
2023-08-29+3.3%-16.4%
2023-11-22-3.4%+25.9%
2024-02-22+13.1%+5.2%
2024-05-30+8.8%-1.2%

Day-one is the close-to-close move around the filing. Nothing here is investment advice.

Recent filings

NVDA's latest 8-K filings: 2026-08-26 (items 2.02, 9.01); 2026-08-17 (items 1.01, 2.03, 7.01); 2026-07-02 (items 5.02); 2026-06-30 (items 5.07); 2026-06-18 (items 8.01, 9.01).

Item codes are the SEC's own classification of what each report discloses. Dates link to the filing on EDGAR. Nothing here is investment advice.

Compare NVDA

AMD vs NVDAINTC vs NVDAADI vs NVDAAMAT vs NVDAAPH vs NVDAAVGO vs NVDA

Model solve date: 2026-Q2
Narrative composed: August 7, 2026

For informational and research purposes only. Not investment advice. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. boothcheck is not a registered investment adviser. Past performance does not guarantee future results.