Estee Lauder Companies Inc
In the published model solve dated 2026-Q2, anchored at $103.39, Estee Lauder Companies Inc (EL) is priced for today's economics sustained for ~5.9 years. boothcheck publishes no house fair value, target price, or buy/sell rating; individual model outputs and user-controlled scenarios are analytical inputs, not Boothcheck targets. The narrative was composed July 25, 2026 from SEC EDGAR filings.
• Skin Care is 49% of the business, Makeup 29% and Fragrance 17%, and the reset is showing up unevenly: in the nine months to March 31, 2026 operating cash flow reached $1.2 billion against $0.7 billion a year earlier, while reported operating margin in the March quarter still fell to 6.7% from 8.6% [Source: Q3 FY2026 earnings release, May 1, 2026]. • The price is the demanding part, at about 32 times company-wide operating profit, near the top of the peer group, and it needs operating margin to
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805 institutional managers reported holding EL in 13F filings for the quarter ended 2026-03-31. Together they hold about 62% of the company; the top 10 hold 35%. 103 opened new positions that quarter. Held by Vanguard Group, BlackRock, FMR (Fidelity), among others. On the short side, 7.7M shares were sold short as of the 2026-06-15 count, about 2% of shares outstanding (2 days of typical volume to cover).
Quarterly 13F filings arrive up to 45 days after quarter end, so the picture is never current (filed through 2026-05-29). Nothing here is investment advice.
EL's share count is about flat over the past five years ($2.72B of repurchases, offset by issuance). It pays a dividend, and has paid one every year in our records (17 and counting); the current rate is $1.71 a share annually. Cash returned over the past three years: $1.95B in dividends and $140.00M in repurchases.
Share counts are split-adjusted; repurchase totals are gross of share issuance. Nothing here is investment advice.
Open-market insider buys at EL over the trailing three years: 2024: 12 buys totaling $25.19M; 2025: 10 buys totaling $8.73M. 20 officers and directors are on file.
Code P open-market purchases from SEC Form 4 filings, non-derivative, excluding scheduled 10b5-1 plans. Nothing here is investment advice.
EL's recent reports: the day-one move, then what the following quarter actually did.
| report | day one | next quarter |
|---|---|---|
| 2022-11-03 | -6.3% | +34.8% |
| 2023-02-03 | -4.0% | -10.5% |
| 2023-05-04 | -18.0% | -3.5% |
| 2023-08-19 | -3.3% | -12.4% |
Day-one is the close-to-close move around the filing. Nothing here is investment advice.
EL's latest 8-K filings: 2026-08-19 (items 2.02, 9.01); 2026-07-24 (items 5.02, 9.01); 2026-05-01 (items 2.02, 9.01); 2026-03-24 (items 8.01, 9.01); 2026-02-05 (items 2.02, 9.01).
Item codes are the SEC's own classification of what each report discloses. Dates link to the filing on EDGAR. Nothing here is investment advice.
Model solve date: 2026-Q2
Narrative composed: July 25, 2026
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For informational and research purposes only. Not investment advice. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. boothcheck is not a registered investment adviser. Past performance does not guarantee future results.