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CBSH

COMMERCE BANCSHARES, INC.

In the published model solve dated 2026-Q2, anchored at $58.04, COMMERCE BANCSHARES, INC. (CBSH) is priced for 13.9% return on equity. boothcheck publishes no house fair value, target price, or buy/sell rating; individual model outputs and user-controlled scenarios are analytical inputs, not Boothcheck targets. The narrative was composed July 25, 2026 from SEC EDGAR filings.

Published model solve
13.9% return on equity
Priced In
elevated

Key Takeaways

• Fee businesses do the heavy lifting here: the FY2025 10-K reports deposit account fees up $7.9 million, or 7.9%, driven by $7.4 million of higher corporate cash management fees, and the wealth line carries a fifth of the revenue mix without consuming much capital. • Net loan charge-offs reached $40.7 million during 2025 and the allowance rose to 1.01% of loans, which the filing attributes to worsening loss trends in consumer credit card, automobile and other non-real-estate consumer lending. •

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Institutional ownership

452 institutional managers reported holding CBSH in 13F filings for the quarter ended 2026-03-31. Together they hold about 69% of the company; the top 10 hold 43%. 64 opened new positions that quarter. Held by Vanguard Group, BlackRock, State Street, among others. On the short side, 7.0M shares were sold short as of the 2026-06-15 count, about 5% of shares outstanding (5.3 days of typical volume to cover).

Quarterly 13F filings arrive up to 45 days after quarter end, so the picture is never current (filed through 2026-05-29). Nothing here is investment advice.

Capital returns

It pays a dividend, and has paid one every year in our records (17 and counting); the current rate is $1.05 a share annually. Cash returned over the past three years: $404.44M in dividends and $504.68M in repurchases.

Share counts are split-adjusted; repurchase totals are gross of share issuance. Nothing here is investment advice.

Insider activity

Open-market insider buys at CBSH over the trailing three years: 2023: 3 buys totaling $751k; 2026: 1 buy totaling $119k. 28 officers and directors are on file.

Code P open-market purchases from SEC Form 4 filings, non-derivative, excluding scheduled 10b5-1 plans. Nothing here is investment advice.

Earnings reactions

CBSH's recent reports: the day-one move, then what the following quarter actually did.

reportday onenext quarter
2023-08-05+3.1%-10.2%
2023-11-07-5.9%+15.7%
2024-02-23+0.1%+6.9%
2024-05-09+1.5%+0.7%

Day-one is the close-to-close move around the filing. Nothing here is investment advice.

Recent filings

CBSH's latest 8-K filings: 2026-07-16 (items 2.02, 9.01); 2026-07-06 (items 5.02); 2026-05-12 (items 8.01); 2026-05-07 (items 5.02); 2026-04-28 (items 5.02, 5.07, 8.01).

Item codes are the SEC's own classification of what each report discloses. Dates link to the filing on EDGAR. Nothing here is investment advice.

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Model solve date: 2026-Q2
Narrative composed: July 25, 2026

For informational and research purposes only. Not investment advice. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. boothcheck is not a registered investment adviser. Past performance does not guarantee future results.