AeroVironment Inc
In the published model solve dated 2026-Q2, anchored at $145.91, AeroVironment Inc (AVAV) is priced for today's economics sustained for ~9.0 years. boothcheck publishes no house fair value, target price, or buy/sell rating; individual model outputs and user-controlled scenarios are analytical inputs, not Boothcheck targets. The narrative was composed July 25, 2026 from SEC EDGAR filings.
• AeroVironment is now two businesses stapled together, the small-drone and loitering-munition line it built itself and the counter-drone, directed-energy and space work it bought with BlueHalo on May 1, 2025, which is why revenue rose 141% to $1,976.8 million in the year ended April 30, 2026 while reported profit went the other way. • One customer sets the ceiling: US government sales were $1,688.7 million of that total, and the 10-K states plainly that ⟦U.S. government contracts are generally
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591 institutional managers reported holding AVAV in 13F filings for the quarter ended 2026-03-31. Together they hold about 62% of the company; the top 10 hold 33%. 112 opened new positions that quarter. Held by BlackRock, Vanguard Group, State Street, among others. On the short side, 4.8M shares were sold short as of the 2026-06-15 count, about 10% of shares outstanding (4.6 days of typical volume to cover).
Quarterly 13F filings arrive up to 45 days after quarter end, so the picture is never current (filed through 2026-05-29). Nothing here is investment advice.
AVAV's share count grew 102% over the past five years. It pays no dividend.
Share counts are split-adjusted; repurchase totals are gross of share issuance. Nothing here is investment advice.
No open-market insider buys on file at AVAV over the trailing three years. Absence is a fact about the company, not a signal. 18 officers and directors are on file.
Code P open-market purchases from SEC Form 4 filings, non-derivative, excluding scheduled 10b5-1 plans. Nothing here is investment advice.
AVAV's recent reports: the day-one move, then what the following quarter actually did.
| report | day one | next quarter |
|---|---|---|
| 2023-06-29 | +4.9% | -3.0% |
| 2023-09-07 | +17.3% | +6.5% |
| 2023-12-07 | -9.5% | +0.5% |
| 2024-03-06 | +29.9% | -0.4% |
Day-one is the close-to-close move around the filing. Nothing here is investment advice.
AVAV's latest 8-K filings: 2026-08-07 (items 5.02, 7.01, 9.01); 2026-07-29 (items 5.02, 7.01, 9.01); 2026-06-29 (items 2.02, 7.01, 9.01); 2026-06-25 (items 5.02, 7.01, 9.01); 2026-06-22 (items 4.02, 5.02).
Item codes are the SEC's own classification of what each report discloses. Dates link to the filing on EDGAR. Nothing here is investment advice.
Model solve date: 2026-Q2
Narrative composed: July 25, 2026
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For informational and research purposes only. Not investment advice. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. boothcheck is not a registered investment adviser. Past performance does not guarantee future results.