MDU RESOURCES GROUP, INC. (MDU): what the price assumes
In the published model solve dated 2026-Q2, anchored at $20.01, MDU RESOURCES GROUP, INC. (MDU) is priced for +3.9% growth. boothcheck publishes no house fair value, target price, or buy/sell rating; individual model outputs and user-controlled scenarios are analytical inputs, not Boothcheck targets. Narrative composed 2026-07-24.
Generated: 2026-08-10 · Exported: 2026-08-12 · Source: https://boothcheck.com/report/MDU
Headline
| Field | Value |
|---|---|
| Ticker | MDU |
| Company | MDU RESOURCES GROUP, INC. |
| Sector / Industry | Basic Materials |
| Current price | $20.01/sh |
| Composition | Residential utility sales 43% / Commercial utility sales 33% / Industrial utility sales 4% / Other utility sales 0% / Natural gas transportation 14% / Natural gas storage 1% / Other 8% / Intersegment eliminations -4% |
What The Price Assumes (Inversion)
The assumption today's price embeds, recovered by inverting the valuation.
| Field | Value |
|---|---|
| Inversion basis | whole-company |
| Operating margin (value-band context) | 9.8% |
| Operating margin today | 16.2% |
| Margin compression (value-band) | -6.4pp |
| Implied growth | 3.9% |
| Multiple paid | 23x operating income |
The operating-margin figure is value-band context at year 12: derived from the framework's value band, a separate calculation — not part of the priced-in solve.
Solve inputs: computed at a 7% cost of capital with 4% terminal growth over a 5-year stage; each 1pp of cost of capital moves the implied operating-profit growth ~8.6pp (computed at the 7% minimum rate; the CAPM rate 6.8% sits below it).
Reconcile: at the x-ray's 9.3% required return this reads ~21.3%/yr; the models below use their own rates.
How unusual the bet is: within-range
| Reference | Value |
|---|---|
| vs own history | +0.35σ |
| cohort percentile (of 77 peers) | 69 |
| implied end-window share | 0% |
Valuation X-Ray
Every valuation family lands below the price. The price therefore sits beyond what those standard frames encode.
How the valuation models price the stock relative to the market price. Price/FV above 1.0 means the market pays more than that lens defends (expensive); at or below 1.0 the lens can defend the price.
| Family | Median price/FV | Models | Reads |
|---|---|---|---|
| Asset | 2.45x | 5 | expensive |
| Earnings | 2.30x | 2 | expensive |
| Relative | — | 0 | — |
| Growth | 1.29x | 4 | expensive |
Families that call it expensive: Asset, Earnings
The models below discount at their own flat-beta convention rates (cost of equity 9.3%, WACC 6.0%); the inversion above states its own rate.
Per-Model Detail (n=11)
| Model | Family | FV | Price/FV | Applicable | Methodology |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DCF Perpetual Growth | Growth | $20.98 | 0.95x | yes | Reference only (OCF-based, capex excluded): OCF $0.4B |
| DCF Exit Multiple | Growth | $0.00 | — | no | Negative/zero FCF or EBITDA — equity value floored at $0 |
| Relative Valuation | Relative | — | — | no | P/E 16.37x (blended: static sector reference 14x + trailing (TTM) 22x), scenarios: 12.3x / 16.4x / 19.6x (bear / base = reference held flat / bull), EV/EBITDA 9.72x |
| Simple DDM | Growth | $21.56 | 0.93x | yes | DPS $0.55, g=6.5% (sustainable: ROE (TTM) × retention; not the terminal-growth assumption), ke=9.3% |
| Two-Stage DDM | Growth | $2.27 | 8.81x | yes | Stage 1: -27% for 5yr, Stage 2: 3.5% perpetual |
| Simple Excess Return | Asset | $9.88 | 2.03x | yes | BV/sh $14.03, ROE (TTM) 6.5%, ke 9.3% |
| Two-Stage Excess Return | Asset | $8.17 | 2.45x | yes | 5yr excess ROE then converge to ke=9.3% |
| Discounted Future Market Cap | Growth | $12.34 | 1.62x | yes | Rev $1.8B, growth -0% (input: historical growth; tapered), Terminal P/S: 1.7x / 2.3x / 2.8x (bear / base = today's held flat / bull, cap 6x) |
| Growth-Adjusted P/E | Relative | — | — | no | — |
| Margin Trajectory | Growth | — | — | no | — |
| Earnings Power Value | Earnings | $7.74 | 2.59x | yes | Normalized EBIT (5y avg op income, one-time charges added back) $0.28B × (1−5%) / WACC 6.0% → EPV (no growth) |
| Residual Income | Asset | $7.94 | 2.52x | yes | BV $14.03 + 5yr PV of (ROE (TTM) 6.5% − Kₑ 9.3%) × BV; BV grows 4.2%/yr |
| Graham Number | Asset | $17.04 | 1.17x | yes | √(22.5 × EPS $0.92 × BVPS $14.03) — Graham's conservative floor |
| EV/EBITDA Relative | Relative | — | — | no | EBITDA $0.50B × sector EV/EBITDA 8.0x |
| FCF Yield | Earnings | — | — | no | — |
| SBC-Adj FCF Yield | Earnings | — | — | no | — |
| Ben Graham Formula | Earnings | $0.77 | 25.99x | yes | EPS $0.92 × (8.5 + 2×-5.0%) × (4.4 / 5.3%) (excluded from median) |
| ROIC-Justified P/B | Asset | $4.55 | 4.40x | yes | BV $14.03 × (ROIC 1.9% / WACC 6.0%) |
| P/Sales Sector | Relative | — | — | no | Revenue $1.80B × sector P/S 1.5x |
| PEG Fair Value | Relative | — | — | no | — |
| Earnings Yield | Earnings | $9.95 | 2.01x | yes | EPS $0.92 / required return 9.3% (Rf 4.3% + ERP 5.0%) |
| Funds From Operations Multiple | Relative | — | — | no | — |
| Clinical Phase NPV | Growth | — | — | no | — |
| Merton | Asset | — | — | no | — |
| V5 Mechanical | — | — | — | no | — |
Economic-Unit Decomposition (Sum Of The Parts)
One or more material disclosed units has unresolved economics. Unknown/general is not evidence of homogeneity: segment SOTP is primary but incomplete, consolidated cash flow may remain only a secondary cross-check when every unit shares an enterprise basis, and one sector multiple or target margin is withheld.
| Unit | Role | Valuation basis | Revenue | Reported profit | Value evidence | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Electric | operating | enterprise | $437.8m | — | withheld | unresolved no unit value |
| Natural gas distribution | operating | enterprise | $1.3b | — | withheld | unresolved no unit value |
| Pipeline | operating | enterprise | $154.2m | — | withheld | unresolved no unit value |
No total common-equity value is stated. One or more material units lack a supported unit value. The displayed values are an indicative subtotal; consolidated debt and cash cannot be applied to a fraction of the company.
Solvency
| Field | Value |
|---|---|
| Net debt | $2.5b |
| Net debt / NOPAT (after-tax) | 9.17x |
| Net debt / operating income (pre-tax) | 8.67x |
| Interest coverage | 2.6x |
| Share count CAGR (dilution) | 0.4% |
| Burning cash | no |
Bullet Takeaways
- Roughly three quarters of last quarter's revenue came from piping regulated natural gas to homes and businesses, which makes winter weather, not the economy, the swing factor in any given quarter.
- The balance sheet carries $2.54 billion of net debt against earnings that cover the interest bill about 2.7 times, which is the constraint on how a proposed multi-billion-dollar gas pipeline gets funded.
- A Section 7 application for that pipeline is targeted for the third quarter of 2026 and a final investment decision waits on the remaining precedent agreements; second-quarter results land August 6.
Bull Case
Four state commissions have already written a large part of this year's revenue. Montana approved a $10.4 million annual electric increase effective April 1, Wyoming another $5.8 million on the same date, Idaho a $13.0 million natural gas increase from the start of January, and Washington a second-year step of $10.8 million from March 1. A further Oregon case asking $16.4 million is still working through the process. None of that revenue depends on winning a customer or on the economy behaving. It depends on having spent the money and on a commission agreeing the spending was prudent, which is a very different kind of business risk from the one most industrial companies run.
That mechanism is about to be fed harder than it has been. The plan calls for roughly $3.1 billion of capital between 2026 and 2030, split about $1.1 billion into the electric utility, $1.4 billion into natural gas distribution and $0.6 billion into the pipeline. Set that against an equity value a little over four billion dollars and the scale becomes clear: this company intends to build, over five years, an amount of new rate base close to what the whole equity is worth today. Every approved dollar of it earns an allowed return for decades afterward.
Then there is the piece sitting entirely outside that plan. The proposed Bakken East pipeline would carry associated gas out of the Bakken toward eastern demand, and the open season drew binding interest of 1.4 billion cubic feet a day. Roughly 40% of the precedent agreements are executed, the State of North Dakota has committed $50 million a year for a decade in support, and the estimated cost runs $2.7 billion to $3.2 billion, incremental to everything above. A Section 7 application is targeted for the third quarter of this year, with phase one aimed at late 2029 and phase two at late 2030. Gas produced alongside Bakken oil has to go somewhere, and the alternative to a pipeline is flaring it, which North Dakota has spent a decade trying to stop. That is why a state government is writing checks toward private infrastructure.
The economics of the existing pipeline business explain why this matters more than its size suggests. In the first quarter it turned $57.1 million of revenue into $15.3 million of earnings, the richest conversion of any segment the company runs, against natural gas distribution which needed $462.5 million of revenue to produce $44.2 million. Growing the smallest and most profitable business by a multiple of its current size changes the shape of the whole company's earnings, not just the total.
The skeptic's answer is that none of this is committed yet, and that is fair. The final investment decision has not been made. But the bull case does not require the pipeline. It requires the utility to keep converting an approved capital plan into allowed returns, which it has done through four rate orders already effective this year, while management holds a long-term earnings growth target of 6% to 8% a year. The pipeline is what turns a steady regulated compounder into something considerably more interesting, and the shareholder is not paying a growth-stock entry fee for the option.
Bear Case
Start with what the shares are not asking for. Operating profit growing about 4.3% a year is what the price requires, and for a regulated business with four approved rate increases already in effect, that is not a heroic demand. The trouble shows up somewhere else entirely: check that quote against the methods that value the business as it stands rather than extrapolate it, and none of them reach it. Book value plus profitability, earnings power, peer comparison and discounted cash flow all land underneath. The asset-value methods land furthest away, with the shares at roughly 2.6 times where that family points.
The reason is not mysterious, and it is the sharpest thing a skeptic can say about this company. Book value behind each share is $13.89 and guided 2026 earnings are $0.93 to $1.00, a return on shareholders' capital near 7% and thinner than an equity holder in a leveraged, weather-exposed utility should want. A business earning less on its book than its owners should demand of it is worth less than its book, not half again more than it, and that arithmetic is why every value-oriented lens lands short. The market is not paying for the returns this company earns. It is paying for the ones it intends to earn.
Getting there means spending, and the spending is where the balance sheet starts to matter. Net debt of $2.54 billion runs at about 8.5 times operating income, and operating income covers the interest bill about 2.7 times over. Liquidity is thin: $53.3 million of cash on hand at the end of March against a five-year plan that calls for roughly $3.1 billion of capital spending. Utilities fund that gap the usual way, with a mix of new debt and new equity, and the equity portion is a bill the existing holders pay.
Now add the pipeline. Bakken East carries an estimated cost of $2.7 billion to $3.2 billion, entirely on top of the five-year plan, against a company whose whole equity is worth a little over four billion dollars. The first phase is not targeted to enter service until late 2029 and the second not until late 2030. That is four full construction seasons of capital going out before a dollar of tariff revenue comes back. The project has not reached a final investment decision, roughly 40% of its precedent agreements are executed, and a federal certificate is still ahead of it. If the remaining shippers do not sign, the growth the shares are being valued on shrinks back to the rate base.
And the near term is not free of noise either. First-quarter revenue fell about 10% against the prior year and earnings came in at $0.39 a share versus $0.40, with mild winter weather alone costing about three cents. In a business where residential and commercial gas sales dominate the revenue line, a warm December does real damage to a quarter, and no amount of regulatory protection changes that.
The fair concession is that almost none of this is speculative in the way a growth stock's story is speculative. Rate base compounds whether or not customers grow, and North Dakota has committed $50 million a year for a decade toward the pipeline. The bear case here is not that the plan fails. It is that the plan is already in the quote, financed with money the company has not yet raised, on assets it has not yet built.
Valuation
Utility valuation reduces to two questions: how much capital can the company put into the ground, and what does the regulator let it earn on that capital. On the first, this one answers loudly. On the second, the recent answer has been modest, and the gap between those two facts is the entire valuation debate.
Today's quote requires operating profit to grow about 4.3% a year over the next five, which for a regulated business is an ordinary demand rather than a stretch. Measured against the company's own record and against comparable utilities, that assumption reads as unremarkable. Yet none of the standard lenses reach today's quote. Book value plus profitability, earnings power, peer comparison and discounted cash flow all settle below it, and the asset-value methods sit furthest off, with the shares at about 2.6 times where that family lands. When a price clears every static frame while the assumption embedded in it looks pedestrian, the two statements are not in conflict. They are describing the same thing from opposite ends: the static frames measure the business that exists, and the growth assumption measures the business being built.
The arithmetic underneath is straightforward. Guidance of $0.93 to $1.00 a share for 2026 against $13.89 of book value per share is a return on shareholders' capital near 7%, below what an equity holder in a leveraged utility should require. Methods that value a company off its book and its returns therefore cannot get to a quote near one and a half times book. Methods that project the capital plan forward can. Anyone buying here is buying the plan, not the run rate.
Solvency is where that distinction acquires teeth. Net debt runs to $2.54 billion, roughly 8.5 times operating income, with operating income covering interest about 2.7 times. Cash on hand was $53.3 million at the end of the first quarter. That is a normal enough posture for a regulated utility, whose cash flows are predictable and whose regulators generally allow recovery of prudent costs, but it leaves very little internally generated slack for a five-year plan of roughly $3.1 billion, let alone the $2.7 billion to $3.2 billion Bakken East would add on top. The financing mix is the variable to watch, because the equity portion of it dilutes the per-share arithmetic that every one of these lenses runs on.
One more thing shapes the read and is easy to miss. The company that files today is a regulated electric and gas utility plus a gas pipeline, and nothing else. First-quarter revenue was $606.0 million with earnings of $80.8 million, or $0.39 a share, against a prior-year quarter carrying a materially different business mix. The trailing figures every static method consumes therefore describe a company that has only recently finished becoming what it now is, which is a genuine reason to weight the forward capital plan more heavily than a normal utility's history would justify, and a genuine reason to treat the trailing comparison with care.
Catalysts
Second-quarter results arrive before the market opens on August 6, with a call that afternoon. Two things matter in that print more than the earnings line. The first is whether the spring quarter recovered any of the roughly three cents that mild winter weather took out of the first, since gas distribution revenue is the largest single line in the business and weather is its main quarterly variable. The second is the count of executed precedent agreements on Bakken East, which stood at roughly 40% of the total when the company last reported.
The pipeline is the event with the longest reach. Management has targeted a Section 7 application with federal regulators for the third quarter of this year, which on the current calendar means it should be filed within weeks, and a final investment decision remains pending the execution of the remaining agreements. The stated capital cost is $2.7 billion to $3.2 billion, with the first phase targeted for service in late 2029 and the second in late 2030. A decision either way resets what the shares are being asked to carry, and given the size of the project relative to the company, so does any announcement of how it would be financed.
On the regulated side, the Oregon natural gas case requesting a $16.4 million annual increase is still outstanding. Management affirmed 2026 earnings guidance of $0.93 to $1.00 a share after the first quarter and left its long-term growth target of 6% to 8% a year unchanged, so the August print is as much a test of whether that guidance survives contact with a full half-year as it is a report on the quarter.
Peer Cohorts (Per Segment, With Filing Citations)
Electric (reported)
- OTTR (OTTER TAIL CORPORATION)
- FY2025 10-K: …on equity in comparison to internal thresholds or peer entities. The operations of our three reportable segments are further described below. We have aggregated two operating segments within our Manufacturing reportable segment based on the similarity between these businesses and their economic characteristics.…
- FY2025 10-K: …in regulatory treatment or public policy; changes in commodity pricing or construction costs; delivery of critical materials; obtaining necessary permits and licenses; and other adverse conditions. Capital investments in our Electric segment require regulatory approval and are subject to the risks of not being…
- NWE (NORTHWESTERN ENERGY GROUP, INC.)
- FY2025 10-K: …described within Note 2 - Significant Accounting Policies . Segment asset and capital expenditure information is not provided for our reportable segments. As an integrated electric and gas utility, we operate significant assets that are not dedicated to a specific reportable segment. Financial data for the business…
- FY2025 10-K: , and 3%, respectively, of our Montana retail electric utility revenue. Transmission and Distribution Our electric system is composed of high voltage transmission lines and low voltage distribution lines as follows: Electric Transmission Lines Miles of 500 kV 497 Miles of 230 kV 988 Miles of 161 kV 1,184 Miles of 115…
- IDA (IDACORP INC)
- FY2025 10-K: …service. If customers choose to generate their own energy, discontinue a portion or all service from Idaho Power, or replace electric power for heating with natural gas, demand for Idaho Power's energy may decline and adversely impact the affordability of its services for remaining customers. While Idaho Power has…
- FY2025 10-K: …in retail revenue from period to period. The primary influences on changes in customer demand for electricity are weather, economic conditions (including growth in the number of Idaho Power customers), and energy efficiency. Idaho Power's utility revenues are not earned evenly during the year. Retail revenues are…
- POR (PORTLAND GENERAL ELECTRIC COMPANY)
- FY2025 10-K: …may apply to all large load customers. The OPUC is expected to issue an Order in UM 2377 in the second quarter of 2026. Operating Activities In addition to providing electricity from PGE's own generation portfolio, to meet retail load requirements and balance energy supply with customer demand, manage risk, and…
- FY2025 10-K: …and natural gas in an effort to meet the needs of, and obtain reasonably-priced power for its retail customers, manage risk, and administer its long-term wholesale contracts. The Company generates revenues and cash flows primarily from the sale and distribution of electricity to retail customers in its service…
- AVA (AVISTA CORP)
- FY2025 10-K: Utilities Electric Operating Statistics - Electric Operations" below for annual quantities of purchased power, wholesale power sales and power from exchanges in 2025, 2024 and 2023. See "Electric Operations" above for additional 12 AVISTA CORPORATION information on the use of wholesale purchases and sales as part of…
- FY2025 10-K: …2024-01-01 2024-12-31 0000104918 ava:OtherElectricMember ava:AlaskaElectricLightPowerMember 2023-01-01 2023-12-31 0000104918 srt:MinimumMember ava:SecuredandUnsecuredDebtMember us-gaap:EstimateOfFairValueFairValueDisclosureMember us-gaap:MeasurementInputQuotedPriceMember 2025-12-31 0000104918…
- BKH (BLACK HILLS CORP /SD/)
- FY2025 10-K: Dakota Electric to recover from customers eligible investments in, and expense related to, new environmental measures. EIS Energy Insurance Services, Inc., a nonaffiliated captive insurance company and consolidated VIE of BHC. EIS is owned by Energy Insurance Mutual Limited Company and allows participating member…
- FY2025 10-K: …by our Utilities that 1) provide electrical system construction services to large industrial customers of our electric utilities, and 2) serve gas transportation customers throughout its service territory by constructing and maintaining customer-owned gas infrastructure facilities, typically through one-time…
- EE (Excelerate Energy, Inc)
- FY2025 10-K: …srt:EuropeMember 2024-01-01 2024-12-31 0001888447 srt:MaximumMember ee:TermLoanFacilityMember 2025-01-01 2025-12-31 0001888447 us-gaap:FairValueInputsLevel2Member ee:CarryingValueMember ee:TwoThousandsThirtyNotesMember 2024-12-31 xbrli:pure utr:MMcfe ee:Tugboat ee:Vessels xbrli:shares ee:Pipeline iso4217:USD…
- FY2025 10-K: …Energy" and the Excelerate logo. In addition, we are the registered holder of a variety of domestic domain names, including "excelerateenergy.com." Available Information We are required to file any annual, quarterly and current reports, proxy statements and certain other information with the SEC. The SEC maintains a…
- PNW (PINNACLE WEST CAPITAL CORP)
- FY2025 10-K: …generally represent a single performance obligation delivered over time. We have elected to apply the practical expedient that allows us to recognize revenue based on the amount to which we have a right to invoice for services performed. We derive electric revenues primarily from sales of electricity to our regulated…
- FY2025 10-K: 3.9%, adjusted to exclude the effects of weather variations. Due to the expected growth of several data centers and large manufacturing facilities, we currently project that annual retail electricity sales in kWh will increase in the range of 4.0% to 6.0% for 2026 and that average annual growth will be in the range of…
Natural gas distribution (reported)
- NWN (NORTHWEST NATURAL HOLDING COMPANY)
- FY2025 10-K: …used in the NWN Gas Utility segment. NW Natural's Natural Gas Storage Properties NW Natural holds leases and other property interests in approximately 12,000 net acres of underground natural gas storage in Oregon and easements and other property interests related to pipelines associated with these facilities. NW…
- FY2025 10-K: …and small commercial markets. In Texas, the absence of defined service territories increases competitive intensity, as multiple gas utilities may compete directly to obtain business from developers, builders, and end-use customers. Competition among energy suppliers is based on price, efficiency, reliability,…
- NJR (NEW JERSEY RESOURCES CORPORATION)
- FY2025 10-K: …in natural gas purchases as they occur. Demand Fees For the purpose of securing storage and pipeline capacity in support of their respective businesses, ES and NJNG enter into storage and pipeline capacity contracts, which require the payment of associated demand fees and charges that allow them access to a high…
- FY2025 10-K: …Stagecoach Pipeline & Storage Company LLC storage fields. NJNG has sufficient firm transportation, storage and supply capacity to fully meet its customer demand for natural gas within its service territory. Peaking Supply To manage its winter peak day demand, NJNG maintains two LNG facilities with a combined…
- SWX (Southwest Gas Holdings, Inc.)
- FY2025 10-K: 2025 vs. 2024 Contribution to consolidated net income from natural gas distribution operations increased $38.2 million between 2025 and 2024 consistent with the Natural Gas Distribution segment except for: • $10.2 million higher Income tax expense consistent with the Natural Gas Distribution segment explanation…
- FY2025 10-K: …to inject or withdraw from this interruptible storage, which consequently limits Southwest Gas' use of this interruptible storage capacity. As such, this storage provides limited operational flexibility to adjust daily flowing supplies to meet demand. For the Arizona rate jurisdiction, Southwest Gas operate s a…
- SR (Spire Inc.)
- FY2025 10-K: …and intrastate suppliers and distributes the purchased gas through its distribution facilities for sale to residential, commercial, and industrial customers and other end-users of natural gas. Spire Alabama also transports gas through its distribution system for certain large commercial and industrial customers for a…
- FY2025 10-K: …from gas sales and transportation services on an accrual basis that includes estimated amounts for gas delivered but not yet billed. The accruals for unbilled revenues are reversed in the subsequent accounting period when meters are actually read and customers are billed. Spire Alabama records natural gas…
- NFG (NATIONAL FUEL GAS CO)
- FY2025 10-K: …retained a substantial majority of small sales customers. In both New York and Pennsylvania, approximately 8% of Distribution Corporation's small-volume residential and commercial customers purchase their supplies from unregulated marketers. In contrast, almost all large commercial and industrial customers are served…
- FY2025 10-K: …in the cost of purchased natural gas have no direct impact on profit margins. Distribution Corporation is required to file an accounting reconciliation with the regulators in each of the Utility segment's service territories regarding the costs of purchased natural gas. Extreme weather events, variations in seasonal…
- ATO (ATMOS ENERGY CORP)
- FY2025 10-K: …load and peaking agreements, coupled with the withdrawal of gas held in storage, allows us the flexibility to adjust to changes in weather, which minimizes our need to enter into long-term firm commitments. We estimate our peak-day availability of natural gas supply to be approximately 5.4 Bcf. The peak-day demand…
- FY2025 10-K: …3.4 million residential, commercial, public-authority, and industrial customers through our six regulated distribution divisions in the service areas described below: Division Service Area Atmos Energy Colorado-Kansas Division Colorado, Kansas Atmos Energy Kentucky/Mid-States Division Kentucky, Tennessee, Virginia…
- OGE (OGE ENERGY CORP.)
- FY2025 10-K: 0.0 % Natural Gas As a participant in the SPP Integrated Marketplace, OG&E purchases its natural gas supply through short-term agreements. OG&E relies on a diversified portfolio of natural gas supply comprised of (i) base load agreements that include first-of-month agreements with a fixed price for the month term;…
- FY2025 10-K: …to these agreements will fulfill their obligations to supply and transport coal and natural gas to us. The suppliers and transporters under these agreements may experience financial or technical problems that inhibit their ability to fulfill their obligations to us. In addition, the suppliers and transporters under…
Pipeline (reported)
- WMB (WILLIAMS COMPANIES, INC.)
- FY2025 10-K: …cybersecurity practices and incident responses; and (3) conduct comprehensive reviews of cybersecurity practices, identify gaps, and report results to TSA and CISA. Additionally, Security Directive Pipeline-2021-02E, effective July 27, 2024, builds on previous directives by requiring pipeline operators to: (1)…
- FY2025 10-K: …us-gaap:OtherCapitalizedPropertyPlantAndEquipmentMember 2024-12-31 0000107263 srt:MinimumMember wmb:NorthwestPipelineLLCMember us-gaap:GasTransmissionAndDistributionEquipmentMember 2025-01-01 2025-12-31 0000107263 srt:MaximumMember wmb:NorthwestPipelineLLCMember us-gaap:GasTransmissionAndDistributionEquipmentMember…
- KMI (KINDER MORGAN, INC.)
- FY2025 10-K: …and governmental regulations, the ability to convert to alternative fuels, and weather. 9 Products Pipelines Our Products Pipelines business segment consists of our refined petroleum products, crude oil, and condensate pipelines, and associated terminals, our condensate processing facility, and our transmix…
- FY2025 10-K: …base salaries in the markets in which we operate and competitive benefits, including retirement plans, opportunities for annual bonuses, and, for eligible employees, long-term incentives and an employee stock purchase plan. Properties and Rights-of-Way We believe we generally have satisfactory title to the properties…
- OKE (ONEOK INC /NEW/)
- FY2025 10-K: . See further discussion in the "Regulatory, Environmental and Safety Matters" section. Natural Gas Pipelines Overview of Operations - In our Natural Gas Pipelines segment, we receive residue natural gas from third parties and our own natural gas processing plants and interconnecting pipelines. Residue natural gas is…
- FY2025 10-K: …pipeline, the construction will occur over an extended period of time, and we will not receive any material increases in revenues until after completion of the project; • we may construct facilities to capture anticipated future growth in production or downstream demand in which anticipated growth does not…
- TRGP (TARGA RESOURCES CORP.)
- FY2025 10-K: …for repairs or upgrades deemed necessary to ensure the continued safe and reliable operation of our pipelines. The imposition of new or enhanced safety requirements, or any issuance or reinterpretation of guidance by PHMSA or any other state or federal agencies with respect thereto, may require us to install new or…
- FY2025 10-K: …of time and we will not receive any material increases in revenues until the project is completed. Moreover, we may construct pipelines or facilities to capture anticipated future growth in production in a region in which such growth does not materialize. For example, we do not possess reserves estimation expertise,…
- ENB (ENBRIDGE INC.)
- FY2025 10-K: …To achieve our vision, we emphasize specific capabilities, including the ability to offer integrated and differentiated solutions, that will help us grow and build competitive advantages within our core and potential new businesses. We continue to focus on our customers so that we are responsive to their needs. We…
- FY2025 10-K: …and logistical services to North American refiners, producers, and other customers. The business is primarily focused on servicing customers across the value chain and capturing value from quality, time, and location price differentials when opportunities arise. To execute these strategies, the crude oil marketing…
- TRP (TC ENERGY CORPORATION)
- FY2025 40-F: …to third parties or otherwise realized. 3 Includes shared costs and depreciation previously allocated to the Liquids Pipelines segment. Refer to Note 4, Discontinued operations, for additional information. 4 Included in Investing activities in the Consolidated statement of cash flows. TC Energy Consolidated Financial…
- FY2025 40-F: …1, 2029. Early adoption is permitted. The guidance can be applied with a modified prospective, a modified retrospective, or a retrospective approach. The Company is currently assessing the impact of the standard on the Company's consolidated financial statements. TC Energy Consolidated Financial Statements 2025 | 149…
- WES (Western Midstream Partners, LP)
- FY2025 10-K: …Competition levels vary in our geographic areas of operation and are greatest in areas experiencing heightened producer activity and during periods of high commodity prices. Notwithstanding, Occidental and third-party producers provide certain dedications and/or minimum-volume commitments in our significant areas of…
- FY2025 10-K: …plants, as well as EOG's Jewell gas-processing plant, are delivered via our Thunder Creek NGL pipeline to ONEOK, Inc.'s Well Draw delivery point. Southwest Wyoming Granger gathering system • Customers. For the year ended December 31, 2025, Granger complex throughput was from numerous third-party customers, with the…
Methodology Note
- Priced-in inversion: the valuation is inverted on the current price to recover the operating-income growth, duration, and steady-state margin the price embeds (ROE for financials, FFO growth for REITs).
- Valuation x-ray: the valuation models, grouped into four families (asset, earnings, relative, growth). Each model is expressed as a price/FV ratio (distance from price), not a point fair-value estimate. The spread across families is the disagreement.
- Economic-unit decomposition (SOTP): each disclosed business unit is assigned its native valuation basis before any multiple is applied. Operating units are valued on enterprise value; funded financial units are valued on their own common equity, because their borrowings fund earning assets rather than levering the parent. A company total is stated only once every material unit carries a supported value and the parent capital bridge reconciles.
- Solvency: net cash/debt, net-debt-to-NOPAT, interest coverage, and share-count CAGR from EDGAR financials (net debt / FFO and fixed-charge coverage for REITs; regulatory-capital framing for financials).
- Peer cohorts: per-segment comparables with deep-linkable SEC filing citations.
Fundamentals sourced from SEC EDGAR filings. Current price from Databento. The priced-in inversion and valuation x-ray are computed by the boothcheck engine; narrative composed by AI from the structured data.
Sources
MDU Q1 2026 earnings release, May 7, 2026 · MDU Q1 2026 earnings presentation, May 7, 2026 · MDU Resources Q2 2026 earnings webcast announcement