CISCO SYSTEMS, INC. (CSCO): what the price assumes
In the published model solve dated 2026-Q2, anchored at $109.95, CISCO SYSTEMS, INC. (CSCO) is priced for today's economics sustained for ~5.1 years. boothcheck publishes no house fair value, target price, or buy/sell rating; individual model outputs and user-controlled scenarios are analytical inputs, not Boothcheck targets. Narrative composed 2026-07-25.
Generated: 2026-08-30 · Source: https://boothcheck.com/report/CSCO
Headline
| Field | Value |
|---|---|
| Ticker | CSCO |
| Company | CISCO SYSTEMS, INC. |
| Sector / Industry | Technology |
| Current price | $109.95/sh |
| Composition | Networking 50% / Security 14% / Collaboration 7% / Observability 2% / Services 27% |
What The Price Assumes (Inversion)
The assumption today's price embeds, recovered by inverting the valuation.
| Field | Value |
|---|---|
| Inversion basis | whole-company |
| Operating margin (value-band context) | 28.9% |
| Operating margin today | 23.4% |
| Margin expansion (value-band) | +5.5pp |
| Must persist for | 5.1y |
| Multiple paid | 32x operating income |
The operating-margin figure is value-band context at year 12: derived from the framework's value band, a separate calculation — not part of the priced-in solve.
Solve inputs: computed at a 8.4% cost of capital; growth searched up to the 25% self-funding ceiling.
How unusual the bet is: within-range (limited comparison data)
| Reference | Value |
|---|---|
| vs own history | +1.71σ |
| cohort percentile (of 188 peers) | 60 |
Valuation X-Ray
Asset, earnings-power and peer-multiple models all land far below the price; ONLY the growth-DCF reaches it. The bet is durable compounding the static frames structurally cannot price (a moat/durability premium).
How the valuation models price the stock relative to the market price. Price/FV above 1.0 means the market pays more than that lens defends (expensive); at or below 1.0 the lens can defend the price.
| Family | Median price/FV | Models | Reads |
|---|---|---|---|
| Asset | 3.35x | 5 | expensive |
| Earnings | 3.58x | 5 | expensive |
| Relative | 1.31x | 2 | expensive |
| Growth | 1.00x | 3 | justifies |
Families that justify the price: Growth Families that call it expensive: Asset, Earnings
The models below discount at their own flat-beta convention rates (cost of equity 9.3%, WACC 8.6%); the inversion above states its own rate.
Per-Model Detail (n=15)
| Model | Family | FV | Price/FV | Applicable | Methodology |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DCF Perpetual Growth | Growth | $85.66 | 1.28x | yes | FCF base $12.7B, growth 9% (input: historical growth), terminal g 4.0%, WACC 8.6%, 6yr projection |
| DCF Exit Multiple | Growth | $130.73 | 0.84x | yes | Exit EV/EBITDA: 30.6x / 32.6x / 34.6x (bear / base = today's held flat / bull), 6yr |
| Relative Valuation | Relative | — | — | no | P/E 28x (static sector reference · 2026-04), scenarios: 23.2x / 28.0x / 32.8x (bear / base = reference held flat / bull), EV/EBITDA 23.78x |
| Simple DDM | Growth | — | — | no | — |
| Two-Stage DDM | Growth | — | — | no | — |
| Simple Excess Return | Asset | $32.80 | 3.35x | yes | BV/sh $12.40, ROE (TTM) 24.5%, ke 9.3% |
| Two-Stage Excess Return | Asset | $53.51 | 2.05x | yes | 5yr excess ROE then converge to ke=9.3% |
| Discounted Future Market Cap | Growth | $109.91 | 1.00x | yes | Rev $60.7B, growth 9% (input: historical growth; tapered), Terminal P/S: 5.9x / 7.1x / 8.3x (bear / base = today's held flat / bull, cap 8x) |
| Peter Lynch Fair Value | Relative | $69.72 | 1.58x | yes | EPS $3.01, growth 23% (input: historical EPS growth), PEG=1.56 (Overvalued) |
| Margin Trajectory | Growth | — | — | no | — |
| Earnings Power Value | Earnings | $30.67 | 3.58x | yes | Normalized EBIT (5y avg op income, one-time charges added back) $13.75B × (1−16%) / WACC 8.6% → EPV (no growth) |
| Residual Income | Asset | $48.28 | 2.28x | yes | BV $12.40 + 5yr PV of (ROE (TTM) 24.5% − Kₑ 9.3%) × BV; BV grows 8.8%/yr |
| Graham Number | Asset | $28.98 | 3.79x | yes | √(22.5 × EPS $3.01 × BVPS $12.40) — Graham's conservative floor |
| EV/EBITDA Relative | Relative | — | — | no | EBITDA $14.19B × sector EV/EBITDA 20.0x |
| FCF Yield | Earnings | $24.87 | 4.42x | yes | FCF $11788.0M / Kₑ 9.3% — zero-growth perpetuity |
| SBC-Adj FCF Yield | Earnings | $14.31 | 7.68x | yes | SBC-adj FCF $7.94B (FCF $11.79B − SBC $3.85B) capitalized at Kₑ |
| Ben Graham Formula | Earnings | $97.12 | 1.13x | yes | EPS $3.01 × (8.5 + 2×15.0%) × (4.4 / 5.3%) |
| ROIC-Justified P/B | Asset | $6.09 | 18.05x | yes | BV $12.40 × (ROIC 4.2% / WACC 8.6%) |
| P/Sales Sector | Relative | — | — | no | Revenue $60.75B × sector P/S 6.0x |
| PEG Fair Value | Relative | $104.57 | 1.05x | yes | EPS $3.01 × (PEG 1.5 × growth 23.2% (input: historical EPS growth)) → PE 34.7x |
| Earnings Yield | Earnings | $32.54 | 3.38x | yes | EPS $3.01 / required return 9.3% (Rf 4.3% + ERP 5.0%) |
| Funds From Operations Multiple | Relative | — | — | no | — |
| Clinical Phase NPV | Growth | — | — | no | — |
| Merton | Asset | — | — | no | — |
| V5 Mechanical | — | — | — | no | — |
Economic-Unit Decomposition (Sum Of The Parts)
One or more material disclosed units has unresolved economics. Unknown/general is not evidence of homogeneity: segment SOTP is primary but incomplete, consolidated cash flow may remain only a secondary cross-check when every unit shares an enterprise basis, and one sector multiple or target margin is withheld.
| Unit | Role | Valuation basis | Revenue | Reported profit | Value evidence | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Networking | operating | enterprise | $28.3b | — | $131.3b indicative EV subtotal | indicative enterprise value |
| Security | operating | enterprise | $8.1b | — | $61.7b indicative EV subtotal | indicative enterprise value |
| Collaboration | operating | enterprise | $4.2b | — | $12.9b indicative EV subtotal | indicative enterprise value |
| Observability | operating | enterprise | $1.1b | — | withheld | unresolved no unit value |
| Services | operating | enterprise | $15.0b | — | withheld | unresolved no unit value |
No total common-equity value is stated. One or more material units lack a supported unit value. The displayed values are an indicative subtotal; consolidated debt and cash cannot be applied to a fraction of the company.
Solvency
| Field | Value |
|---|---|
| Net debt | $18.2b |
| Net debt / NOPAT (after-tax) | 1.53x |
| Net debt / operating income (pre-tax) | 1.28x |
| Interest coverage | 9.7x |
| Share count CAGR (buyback) | -1.2% |
| Burning cash | no |
Bullet Takeaways
- Contracted revenue not yet recognized reached 43.5 billion dollars at the end of fiscal 2025, up 6% on the year, and the company expects approximately 50% of total remaining performance obligations to be recognized as revenue over the next 12 months, which is the closest thing this business has to a subscription base.
- The exposure is the price rather than the balance sheet: today's level underwrites roughly five years of operating profit growth at the fastest pace the company could fund from its own cash flow, and only about 32% of comparable fast growers have held that pace for that long.
- The fiscal fourth quarter lands on August 12, 2026, and the line to read is product revenue, which at 41.6 billion dollars in fiscal 2025 still sits below the 43.1 billion booked two years earlier.
Bull Case
The direction worth watching is not the headline number. Across fiscal 2023, 2024 and 2025 the services line went 13,856 then 14,550 then 15,046 million dollars, rising in each year regardless of what happened to hardware. Observability went 661, then 837, then 1,055 million over the same three years. Product revenue, meanwhile, fell and then partly recovered. Two of the three lines compound quietly; the third is the one that makes the quarterly headlines. That mix is the whole bull argument in miniature.
Behind it sits a contracted backlog that has become the most reliable number in the business. Remaining performance obligations totalled 43.5 billion dollars at the end of fiscal 2025 against 41.0 billion a year earlier, with product up 8% and services up 5%. The company states that it expects approximately 50% of total remaining performance obligations to be recognized as revenue over the next 12 months. Half of that balance is therefore already spoken for in the coming year, which is a very different starting position from a business that has to sell its entire year from scratch every August.
The competitive advantage that makes this possible is not a product feature and the 10-K is unusually plain about what it actually is. Cisco lists the terms on which it competes as the ability to provide value-added features such as security, reliability, and investment protection; conformance to standards; market presence; the ability to provide financing. Read that list again with an enterprise buyer in mind. Investment protection means the switch bought four years ago still works with the one bought today. The ability to provide financing means the vendor will lend the customer the money to buy its own equipment. Neither is glamorous. Both are extremely hard for a smaller competitor to replicate, and together they explain why an installed base this size renews rather than churns.
The obvious objection is that faster companies exist, and they do. ANET grew revenue 30.6% and ran a 42.8% operating margin, which is a better business by both measures on a fraction of the revenue base. The bull answer is not that Cisco matches that. It is that Cisco is being paid differently: an operating margin near 24% on a revenue base several times larger, interest covered about 9.5 times over, borrowings at roughly 1.27 times operating profit, and a share count that has come down about 1.2% a year over the last four years. The company converts scale into cash and hands a good deal of it back. For an infrastructure supplier in a market where enterprise buyers replace equipment on multi-year cycles, that is the durable version of the business, not the exciting one.
Bear Case
Start with the balance sheet, because it no longer works the way it used to. Gross borrowings run about 34.8 billion dollars against roughly 16.6 billion of liquid assets, and the buyback has retired only about 1.2% of the share count a year over the past four years. Nothing here is fragile. Interest is covered comfortably and the leverage is modest. But a stock priced as a compounder needs the compounding to come from somewhere, and the balance sheet is now a mild drag on that job rather than the engine it once was.
Which puts all the weight on operations, and this is where the price becomes the problem. At today's level the market is paying roughly 33 times the company's operating income, and the arithmetic behind that requires operating profit to grow at the fastest pace the business could fund from its own cash flow, sustained for about five and a half years. Of companies that have grown that fast, only about 32% held the pace that long. The sensitivity is unforgiving too: each percentage point of growth shifts the required runway by roughly 1.9 years, so a modest shortfall does not trim the assumption, it lengthens it past what the evidence supports. If that requirement mean-reverts, the multiple compresses toward where the earnings-power methods already sit, which is a long way down from here.
Cisco's own risk disclosure describes the mechanism better than any outside critic would. The 10-K states that Barriers to entry are relatively low, and new ventures to create products that do or could compete with our products are regularly formed. That is a strange sentence to find under a company priced for durable compounding, and the peer numbers give it teeth. In networking, which is half of revenue, ANET grew 30.6% last year while Cisco's own total revenue rose 5.3% between fiscal 2024 and fiscal 2025. In security, FTNT ran a 31.1% operating margin. In observability, where Cisco's line reached 1,055 million dollars in fiscal 2025, DDOG grew 29.5% on a revenue base more than three times that size.
The collaboration segment shows what a mature line looks like when nobody is watching. It produced 4,052, then 4,113, then 4,154 million dollars across fiscal 2023 to 2025, which is essentially flat over three years, in a category where TEAM grew 24.7%. Seven percent of revenue is not going to decide the thesis on its own. It does illustrate what happens to a Cisco product line once a specialist with a better architecture arrives, and networking is not exempt from that pattern simply because it is bigger.
None of this makes the company weak. It makes the price specific. The static methods, the ones built on book value, on capitalized earnings and on peer comparison, all land well below the current level, and the only approaches that reach it are ones that project growth forward. The bear case is not that Cisco stops working. It is that a business growing revenue in the mid single digits gets valued as though it will grow operating profit at a multiple of that rate for half a decade, and that when the market stops believing the second part, the first part on its own does not support the share price.
Valuation
Take today's price as the input and ask what has to happen for it to make sense. At $114.17 the market is paying roughly 33 times what the whole company earns before interest and tax, and inverting that gives a specific requirement: operating profit growing at the ceiling the business could fund out of its own cash flow, held there for about five and a half years. Keep the number approximate, because it is one solve under fixed assumptions rather than a measurement. The direction is not ambiguous, though. Roughly 32% of comparable fast growers sustained that pace for that long, and each percentage point of growth moves the required runway by about 1.9 years, so the requirement is sensitive to exactly the variable nobody can pin down.
The methods used to triangulate value split cleanly on this, and the split is the information. The asset-value approaches and the earnings-power approaches both land far below the current price, well under half of it. The peer-multiple approaches are closer but still short: the price sits about 34% above where the peer-multiple methods land. Only the forward-growth approaches reach today's level at all. That pattern has a name in plain English, which is that the market is paying for durability the static frames structurally cannot see. Whether the premium is earned is a judgment about the next five years, not about the last twelve months.
It is worth being precise about how the forward methods get there. The two approaches that reach or exceed the current price share one construction: each holds the valuation the market applies today constant through the end of its own forecast. Remove that assumption and nothing in the set reaches $114. Take the same forward math with the multiple allowed to drift back toward the sector, and the answer moves substantially lower.
Peers sharpen it. ANET, competing directly in networking, grew 30.6% last year at a 42.8% operating margin. Cisco's trailing operating margin is about 23.8%. Its own revenue advanced in the mid single digits over the most recent fiscal year. The market is asking Cisco to compound operating profit at a pace its faster competitor is already delivering, without the growth rate that competitor uses to deliver it.
The balance sheet is what keeps the downside orderly. Net borrowings are about 18.2 billion dollars on the funded-debt build, which excludes leases; on the lease-inclusive measure the figure is nearer 29.4 billion. Either way, interest is covered about 9.5 times and net debt sits at roughly 1.27 times operating profit, so the debt is not the constraint on anything management wants to do. The share count has fallen about 1.2% a year over the past four years. This is a well-financed company generating a lot of cash, and the question the price poses has nothing to do with whether it survives. It has to do with how many years of above-normal growth the buyer is agreeing to pay for in advance.
Catalysts
August 12, 2026 is the next scheduled print, covering the fiscal fourth quarter. The fiscal 2025 year that closed in July 2025 saw revenue rise 5.3% while net income slipped slightly, so the burden on the coming report is to show product demand converting rather than backlog simply accumulating. Given how much of the current valuation rests on sustained growth rather than on today's earnings, the order and backlog commentary will matter more than the headline beat.
Two AI-related items landed in the last week of July 2026, both on the security side rather than the hardware side. Cisco introduced an AI tool named Antares aimed at protecting sensitive data, and its own security research reported that multi-turn attacks broke AI models in as many as 88% of attempts. The second is a marketing asset as much as a research finding: a company selling AI security benefits from published evidence that AI systems are easy to break. Whether either converts into the security segment's revenue line is a question for the next several quarters, not this one.
Two older items closed out risks rather than opening them. KeyBanc raised its price target and kept an Overweight rating in late June. Separately, the Supreme Court dismissed the long-running lawsuit alleging Cisco assisted in the persecution of the Falun Gong movement in China, removing a litigation overhang that had been outstanding for years.
Peer Cohorts (Per Segment, With Filing Citations)
Networking (reported)
- ANET (Arista Networks, Inc.)
- FY2025 10-K: The networking market is rapidly evolving. If this market does not evolve as we anticipate or our target customers do not adopt our networking solutions, we may not be able to compete effectively, and our ability to generate revenue will suffer. 19 A substantial portion of our business and revenue depends on the…
- FY2025 10-K: …has a significant potential opportunity for growth; • our business plan and our ability to effectively manage our growth; • our ability to expand our leadership position in the networking industry and to develop new products and expand our business into existing and new markets such as the artificial intelligence…
- HPE (HEWLETT PACKARD ENTERPRISE COMPANY)
- FY2025 10-K: Zerto Disaster Recovery. Networking The Networking segment develops and sells high-performance networking and security products and services that empower customers of all sizes to build scalable, reliable, secure, agile, and efficient automated networks. Our platforms are purpose-built using AI to deliver secure and…
- FY2025 10-K: …innovation. Our primary competitors are other infrastructure and cloud management software technology vendors, such as Broadcom, Cisco Systems Inc., Dell Technologies Inc., IBM, NetApp Inc., Nutanix, and Pure Storage and public cloud vendors like Amazon Web Services, Google Cloud, and Microsoft Azure. Our strategy is…
- FFIV (F5, INC.)
- FY2025 10-K: …technology projects and embrace a range of consumption models from physical systems to software, SaaS-based and managed services solutions. As a result, spending priorities for our current and future customers may vary and demand for our products and services may be impacted. In addition, customer buying patterns are…
- FY2025 10-K: …networks to attacks or compromise from security threats. These problems may cause us to incur significant warranty and repair costs, divert the attention of our engineering personnel from our product development efforts, cause significant customer relations problems, result in legal claims or liability, and impact…
- EXTR (EXTREME NETWORKS, INC.)
- FY2025 10-K: …overall solution or reference architecture. These tested and validated solutions are then marketed and sold by the alliance, OEM or strategic partners into their specific verticals, market segments and customers as turnkey offerings. • Distributors . We have established several key relationships with leading…
- FY2025 10-K: …protect our proprietary rights as fully as in the United States. Competition The market for network switches, routers and software (including analytics) which is part of the broader market for networking equipment, is extremely competitive and characterized by rapid technological progress, frequent new product…
Security (reported)
- CRWD (CrowdStrike Holdings Inc)
- FY2025 10-K: …in the security industry. Additionally, as we look to enter into adjacent markets and expand our total addressable market, we may face new competitors. However, we do not believe any of our competitors currently have a true platform offering equivalent to the Falcon platform, which can be leveraged to win in legacy…
- FY2025 10-K: …market remains very competitive, and competition may further increase in the future. Competitors may reduce the price of products or subscriptions that compete with ours or may bundle them with other products and subscriptions. If our solutions fail or are perceived to fail to detect or prevent incidents or have or…
- PANW (Palo Alto Networks Inc)
- FY2025 10-K: Advanced URL Filtering, Advanced DNS Security, IoT/OT Security, GlobalProtect ® , Prisma Access Agent, Enterprise Data Loss Prevention ("Enterprise DLP"), AI for IT Operations ("AIOps"), Software as a Service ("SaaS") Security, and AI Access Security. Through these add-on services, our customers are able to secure…
- FY2025 10-K: …strategy combines various products and services into a tightly integrated architecture for more secure, faster, and cost-effective outcomes. Network Security Our network security platform is designed to deliver complete zero trust solutions to our customers. The platform includes: • Secure Access Service Edge…
- FTNT (Fortinet Inc)
- FY2025 10-K: …security and networking products. Our competitive differentiation lies in our core technologies, which together provide performance, security, flexibility and integration across diverse environments. • FortiOS -Our unified operating system enables the convergence of networking and AI-powered security to enforce…
- FY2025 10-K: …also attempt to fraudulently induce our employees to transfer funds or 27 Table of Contents disclose information in order to gain access to our networks and confidential information. Third parties may also send our customers or others malware or malicious emails that falsely indicate that we are the source,…
- ZS (Zscaler Inc)
- FY2025 10-K: …vendors, which offer a broad mix of network and endpoint security products; • large networking and other vendors, which offer security appliances and/or incorporate security capabilities in their networking products and other services; • companies with point solutions that compete with some of the features of our…
- FY2025 10-K: …dashboards and reporting and can stream logs to a third-party SIEM service as they arrive. Regardless of where users are located, customers can choose to have logs stored in the United States or the European Union/Switzerland. Customer data is isolated as part of our multi-tenant architecture. • Data Fabric for…
- S (SentinelOne Inc)
- FY2025 10-K: …alliance partners, MSPs, MSSPs, MDRs, OEMs, and IR firms. We provide our partners with our differentiated technology and platform to enable them to provide the best security service to their own customers. Our Singularity Platform offers our partners complete multi-tenancy and a superior level of management…
- FY2025 10-K: …including decisions by organizations to purchase security solutions from larger, more established security vendors or from their primary IT equipment vendors and insolvency or credit difficulties confronting our customers, affecting their ability to purchase or pay for our solution • the timing and length of our…
- OKTA (Okta Inc)
- FY2025 10-K: …a suite of security capabilities that protect our customers from different types of malicious traffic, including bots, breached passwords, suspicious IP addresses and brute force attacks. Attack Protection enables our customers to minimize risks associated with the ever-growing volume of identity-targeted attacks. •…
- FY2025 10-K: …across a range of devices. These integrations allow us to seamlessly deliver identity, access, security and management use cases that previously required significant custom development to achieve. Robust Security Security is essential for us and for our customers. Our approach to security spans day-to-day operational…
- QLYS (QUALYS, INC.)
- FY2025 10-K: IT and OT asset inventory in one browser window, without plugins or a virtual private network (VPN), whenever and wherever Internet access is available. • Easy global scanning. Our customers can easily perform scans on geographically distributed and segmented networks at the perimeter, behind the firewall, on dynamic…
- FY2025 10-K: …phishing attempts. We and our service providers and suppliers could be a target of cyber-attacks or other malfeasance designed to impede the performance of our solutions, penetrate our network security or the security of our cloud platform, products, or our internal systems, misappropriate proprietary information,…
Collaboration (reported)
- ZM (Zoom Communications, Inc.)
- FY2025 10-K: …deployments. Customers are also purchasing services for events, webinars, room solutions, phone, contact center, and employee experience, creating a complete and integrated set of communications services. 7 Table of Contents • Grow our developer ecosystem and continue to expand our platform. Through the Zoom…
- FY2025 10-K: …capacity, which could result in the loss of customers who use our unified communications and collaboration platform because of its reliability and performance. We plan to continue our practice of opening new co-located data centers throughout the world to meet increased demand, but we may be unable to bring…
- TEAM (Atlassian Corporation)
- FY2025 10-K: …efficient, and innovative - the Atlassian system of work. While each of our apps provides distinct functionality to the teams they serve, they share certain core attributes: • AI at the Center - We have embedded AI capabilities at the center of our platform experience and across every app so our customers can unlock…
- FY2025 10-K: …apps as well as in each of our Collections. Agents The AI era will usher in more opportunities to create agents to help automate the rote work to be done. Agents are AI-powered virtual teammates that automate tasks, solve complex problems, and assist in decision-making by leveraging an enterprise's data. Agents can…
- TWLO (TWILIO INC.)
- FY2025 10-K: …Contents • Winning in Customer Data. The foundation of our platform is the real-time collection of customer interactions across channels, platforms, and systems. We aim to capitalize on communications data and contextual consumer insights to offer better engagement, with more proactive and personalized experiences,…
- FY2025 10-K: …and investors' expectations; 10 Table of Contents • fluctuations in the levels of our customers' usage of our platform; • our ability to attract new customers and increase usage of our products by existing customers effectively and in a cost-efficient manner; • our ability to develop new products and enhancements…
- RNG (RingCentral, Inc.)
- FY2025 10-K: …in various disciplines related to our platform, such as voice, video, events, text, team messaging and collaboration, mobile application development, IP networking and infrastructure, contact center, digital customer engagement, user experience, security, robust multi-tenant cloud-based system architecture and…
- FY2025 10-K: …distribution channels, including our network of sales agents and resellers, our partners, and global service providers; • our ability to sell, market, and support our solutions and services, domestically and internationally, and continue to sell and expand our business with enterprise customers and within our key…
- DBX (Dropbox, Inc.)
- FY2025 10-K: • macroeconomic trends. 21 Table of Contents The content collaboration market is subject to rapidly changing user demand and trends in preferences. If we fail to successfully predict and address these changes and trends, meet user demands, or achieve more widespread market acceptance of our platform, our business,…
- FY2025 10-K: …content and the relevant context around it. To date, our users have added hundreds of billions of pieces of content to Dropbox, totaling over multiple exabytes of data. When users adopt the Dropbox platform, they gain access to a digital workspace that supports the full content lifecycle-they can create and organize…
- BOX (Box, Inc.)
- FY2025 10-K: …and with external partners. With our Software-as-a-Service (SaaS) platform, customers can work with their content as they need - from secure external collaboration and workspaces to e-signature processes and content workflows - improving employee productivity and accelerating business processes. IT teams can…
- FY2025 10-K: …end-user-driven bottoms-up adoption, we work with our customers to identify future opportunities using the Box ICM platform. We focus our efforts on larger enterprises, capitalize on international growth in key regions, and utilize our partner ecosystem where most advantageous. In addition to our high-touch…
Observability (reported)
- DDOG (Datadog, Inc.)
- FY2025 10-K: …engineers, security professionals, product managers, product designers, platform engineers, customer support staff, and business users. As a result, our platform is integral to business operations and used every day, and our users find increasing value in the solution over time. • Integrated data platform . We were…
- FY2025 10-K: …performance of event-driven applications. DJM helps data platform teams and data engineers detect, remediate, and optimize problematic Spark and Databricks jobs. 9 • LLM Observability. LLM, or Large Language Model, Observability provides end-to-end tracing of LLM chains with visibility into input-output, errors,…
- DT (Dynatrace, Inc.)
- FY2025 10-K: …and AI at their core, particularly the demand for enterprise-wide solutions and our ability to provide solutions that meet such ever-evolving needs. We currently target the markets for infrastructure observability, application observability, AI observability, digital experience, log analytics, application security,…
- FY2025 10-K: …Our business depends on the overall demand for observability and related solutions, particularly demand from mid- to large-sized accounts worldwide, and the purchase of our solutions by such organizations is often discretionary. Over the last year, we have observed global economic uncertainty at times as well as…
- ESTC (Elastic N.V.)
- FY2025 10-K: …interface for all parts of our platform. Elastic has spent years infusing its platform with a strong foundational suite of AI and machine learning capabilities-from support for external machine learning models to native vector search capabilities, supervised and unsupervised machine learning, and solution…
- FY2025 10-K: …consideration of approximately $ 10.0 million. Headquartered in Israel, Keep Alerting Ltd. unifies alerts and automates incident remediation, helping users manage alerts to improve operational efficiency and service reliability. The acquisition will be accounted for as a business combination and, accordingly, the…
- NTCT (NETSCOUT SYSTEMS, INC.)
- FY2025 10-K: …assets at June 30, 2024. Based on this assessment, the Company concluded that the carrying values of the Company's long-lived assets were recoverable. At September 30, 2024, December 31, 2024, and March 31, 2025 the Company performed a Triggering Event assessment and concluded no events or circumstances occurred that…
- FY2025 10-K: …greater and more timely insights into their subscribers, services, networks, and applications, as well as easily export our smart data into their data lakes and into third-party analytic platforms. 7 Table of Contents • Visibility Products (Probes, Packet Flow Systems and Taps) - Our ISNG platform provides real-time…
Services (reported)
- ANET (Arista Networks, Inc.)
- FY2025 10-K: …provide services, cause vulnerabilities or perceived vulnerabilities in our product, compromise intellectual property or other sensitive data, harm our reputation, damage customer or other relationships, delay our ability to recognize revenue, lead to significant costs, legal proceedings, legal liability, or…
- FY2025 10-K: …the transaction price to the performance obligations in the contract • Recognition of revenue when (or as) we satisfy the performance obligation Post-Contract Customer Support ("PCS") PCS, which includes technical support, hardware repair and replacement parts beyond standard warranty, bug fixes, patches and…
- HPE (HEWLETT PACKARD ENTERPRISE COMPANY)
- FY2025 10-K: …to evaluate segment results. A summary of the types of products and services within each segment is as follows: Server consists of general-purpose servers for multi-workload computing and workload-optimized servers to deliver the best performance and value for demanding applications, and integrated systems comprised…
- FY2025 10-K: Zerto Disaster Recovery. Networking The Networking segment develops and sells high-performance networking and security products and services that empower customers of all sizes to build scalable, reliable, secure, agile, and efficient automated networks. Our platforms are purpose-built using AI to deliver secure and…
- IBM (INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS MACHINES CORP)
- FY2025 10-K: …Strategy and Technology and Intelligent Operations reported within the Consulting segment, and Infrastructure Support reported within the Infrastructure segment. Many of these services can be delivered entirely or partially through cloud or as-a-Service delivery models. The company's services are provided on a…
- FY2025 10-K: …supports clients' mission-critical, on-premise workloads in industries such as banking, airlines and retail. This includes transaction processing software such as Customer Information Control System and storage software, analytics and integration software running on IBM operating systems, AI assistants for IBM Z, and…
- HPQ (HP INC.)
- FY2025 10-K: …for our services, our customers selecting alternative technologies, the cost of our services as compared to our competitors, general market conditions, a lower than investment grade credit rating or other reasons. We may not be able to replace the revenue and earnings from lost customers or reductions in services.…
- FY2025 10-K: …or services provided to customers, and could reduce our revenue, increase our expenses, damage our reputation and adversely affect our cash flows and stock price. We are exposed to cyberattacks seeking to penetrate our network security and misappropriate or compromise our confidential information or that of third…
- DELL (Dell Technologies Inc.)
- FY2025 10-K: …and support and deployment. Approximately 60% of ISG revenue is generated by sales to customers in the Americas, with the remaining portion derived from sales to customers in the Europe, Middle East, and Africa region ("EMEA") and the Asia-Pacific and Japan region ("APJ"). • Client Solutions Group ("CSG") - CSG…
- FY2025 10-K: …and business could suffer if our contracts for ISG services and solutions fail to produce revenue at expected levels due to exercise of customer rights under the contracts, inaccurate estimation of costs, or customer defaults in payment. We offer our ISG customers a range of consumption models for our services and…
- SMCI (SUPER MICRO COMPUTER, INC.)
- FY2025 10-K: …of workloads and environments that deliver entire clusters of racks, with both liquid-cooled and air-cooled options, per customer requirements; • Embedded (5G/IoT/Edge) systems optimized for evolving networks and intelligent management of connected devices; and • MicroCloud server systems that deliver node density in…
- FY2025 10-K: …directly or through approved distributors and third-party partners. We also identify service requirements, create and execute project plans, conduct verification testing, offer training, and provide technical documentation. Rack Level Services: Our rack level services provide complete service from design to…
- STX (Seagate Technology Holdings plc)
- FY2025 10-K: …customers to not pay us or to delay paying us for previously purchased products and services. We may not be able to generate sufficient cash flows from operations and our investments to meet our liquidity requirements, including servicing our indebtedness and continuing to declare our quarterly dividend . We are…
- FY2025 10-K: …and U.S. Bank National Association, as trustee. 8-K 001-31560 4.1 12/2/2014 4.3(a) Supplemental Indenture, dated as of May 18, 2021, to Indenture for the 2034 Notes dated December 2, 2014, by and among Seagate Technology Holdings public limited company, Seagate Technology public limited company, Seagate HDD Cayman…
- WDC (WESTERN DIGITAL CORPORATION)
- FY2025 10-K: …employees in various countries. The benefits are based on the employees' years of service and compensation. The plans are funded in conformity with the funding requirements of applicable government authorities. The Company amortizes unrecognized actuarial gains and losses and prior service costs on a straight-line…
- FY2025 10-K: …of our current foreign exchange contract commitments, see Part II, Item 8, Note 7, Derivative Instruments and Hedging Activities , of the Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements included in this Annual Report on Form 10-K. Indemnifications In the ordinary course of business, we may provide indemnifications of…
Methodology Note
- Priced-in inversion: the valuation is inverted on the current price to recover the operating-income growth, duration, and steady-state margin the price embeds (ROE for financials, FFO growth for REITs).
- Valuation x-ray: the valuation models, grouped into four families (asset, earnings, relative, growth). Each model is expressed as a price/FV ratio (distance from price), not a point fair-value estimate. The spread across families is the disagreement.
- Economic-unit decomposition (SOTP): each disclosed business unit is assigned its native valuation basis before any multiple is applied. Operating units are valued on enterprise value; funded financial units are valued on their own common equity, because their borrowings fund earning assets rather than levering the parent. A company total is stated only once every material unit carries a supported value and the parent capital bridge reconciles.
- Solvency: net cash/debt, net-debt-to-NOPAT, interest coverage, and share-count CAGR from EDGAR financials (net debt / FFO and fixed-charge coverage for REITs; regulatory-capital framing for financials).
- Peer cohorts: per-segment comparables with deep-linkable SEC filing citations.
Fundamentals sourced from SEC EDGAR filings. Current price from Databento. The priced-in inversion and valuation x-ray are computed by the boothcheck engine; narrative composed by AI from the structured data.
Sources
company earnings calendar via stockanalysis.com, July 2026 · fiscal 2025 results summary via stockanalysis.com, July 2026 · Bloomberg Markets and Finance, July 2026 · VentureBeat, July 2026 · TheFly, June 2026 · Fox Business, June 2026