The GEO Group, Inc. vs Toll Brothers, Inc., two Homebuilders stocks. A side-by-side on valuation, growth, margins, returns, and what each price is betting.
Where GEO and TOL diverge most: on fcf yield, GEO reads -0.8% and TOL reads 8.5%; on debt / equity, GEO reads 1.06 and TOL reads 0.00. The rest of the comparable metrics sit closer together. On valuation, today's GEO price has a different growth bar priced in than TOL (+18.0% implied for GEO vs +0.6% for TOL); the higher figure is the steeper assumption to clear, not a better or worse stock. What GEO's price implies is a bet that sits within the historical range (whole-company basis). What TOL's price implies is a bet that sits within the historical range (whole-company basis). The bull and bear cases for each are in their full reports below.
| Metric | GEO | TOL |
|---|---|---|
| Price | $30.47 | $149.36 |
| Market cap | $4.1B | $14.3B |
| Sector | Homebuilders | Homebuilders |
| Stage | Mature | Mature |
| Implied growth (priced in) | +18.0% | +0.6% |
| P/E | 15.5 | 11.3 |
| P/B | 2.73 | 1.69 |
| P/S | 1.50 | 1.29 |
| EV/EBITDA | 13.3 | 8.1 |
| Revenue growth | +12.8% | +4.6% |
| Operating margin | 12.7% | 13.7% |
| Net margin | 10.0% | 11.7% |
| Return on equity | 18.2% | 15.2% |
| Return on assets | 7.2% | 8.9% |
| Return on invested capital | 7.3% | 15.1% |
| FCF yield | -0.8% | 8.5% |
| Dividend yield | — | 0.7% |
| Debt / equity | 1.06 | 0.00 |
| Current ratio | 1.75 | — |
| Altman Z (solvency) | 7.01 | 3.12 |
| Piotroski F (quality) | 8 / 9 | 8 / 9 |
Each week boothcheck ranks the stocks whose prices are betting on the most. Read the most stretched bets archive →
boothcheck is also on Android. Get the app on Google Play →
The stronger value is highlighted per metric where one is strictly better on that single number; it is not an overall verdict on either company. For informational and research purposes only. Not investment advice. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. boothcheck is not a registered investment adviser. Past performance does not guarantee future results.