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WMT

WALMART INC.

In the published model solve dated 2026-Q2, anchored at $103.08, WALMART INC. (WMT) is priced for +16.7% growth. boothcheck publishes no house fair value, target price, or buy/sell rating; individual model outputs and user-controlled scenarios are analytical inputs, not Boothcheck targets. The narrative was composed August 7, 2026 from SEC EDGAR filings.

Published model solve
+16.7% growth
Priced In
elevated

Key Takeaways

• The growth in this business no longer comes from the shelves: in the quarter ended April 30, 2026, eCommerce net sales rose ⟦$8.5 billion or 26%⟧ and membership and other income rose 27.0% on ⟦17.4% growth in membership fee revenue⟧, while the gross profit rate improved on ⟦growth in higher margin businesses, including advertising⟧ [Source: FY2027 Q1 Form 10-Q, filed May 29, 2026]. • The specific risk is that operating profit is not keeping up with the store: operating income as a percentage

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Institutional ownership

4,325 institutional managers reported holding WMT in 13F filings for the quarter ended 2026-03-31. Together they hold about 33% of the company; the top 10 hold 17%. 195 opened new positions that quarter. Held by Vanguard Group, BlackRock, State Street, among others. On the short side, 83.6M shares were sold short as of the 2026-06-15 count, about 1% of shares outstanding (3.4 days of typical volume to cover).

Quarterly 13F filings arrive up to 45 days after quarter end, so the picture is never current (filed through 2026-05-29). Nothing here is investment advice.

Capital returns

WMT has cut its share count 5.1% over the past five years, spending $34.34B on repurchases. It pays a dividend, and has paid one every year in our records (18 and counting), raised 17 years straight; the current rate is $0.94 a share annually. Cash returned over the past three years: $20.77B in dividends and $16.75B in repurchases.

Share counts are split-adjusted; repurchase totals are gross of share issuance. Nothing here is investment advice.

Insider activity

Open-market insider buys at WMT over the trailing three years: 2024: 1 buy totaling $500k. 27 officers and directors are on file.

Code P open-market purchases from SEC Form 4 filings, non-derivative, excluding scheduled 10b5-1 plans. Nothing here is investment advice.

Earnings reactions

WMT's recent reports: the day-one move, then what the following quarter actually did.

reportday onenext quarter
2023-09-02+0.4%+1.9%
2023-12-01-8.5%+9.8%
2024-03-16-1.6%+6.5%
2024-06-08-1.9%+3.1%

Day-one is the close-to-close move around the filing. Nothing here is investment advice.

Recent filings

WMT's latest 8-K filings: 2026-08-20 (items 2.02, 9.01); 2026-06-05 (items 5.03, 5.07, 9.01); 2026-05-21 (items 2.02, 9.01); 2026-04-30 (items 8.01, 9.01); 2026-03-27 (items 8.01).

Item codes are the SEC's own classification of what each report discloses. Dates link to the filing on EDGAR. Nothing here is investment advice.

Compare WMT

AMZN vs WMTCOST vs WMTTGT vs WMTBJ vs WMTBURL vs WMTDDS vs WMT

Model solve date: 2026-Q2
Narrative composed: August 7, 2026

For informational and research purposes only. Not investment advice. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. boothcheck is not a registered investment adviser. Past performance does not guarantee future results.