TIMKEN CO
In the published model solve dated 2026-Q2, anchored at $120.82, TIMKEN CO (TKR) is priced for +17.4% growth. boothcheck publishes no house fair value, target price, or buy/sell rating; individual model outputs and user-controlled scenarios are analytical inputs, not Boothcheck targets. The narrative was composed July 11, 2026 from SEC EDGAR filings.
• Timken is a bearings and industrial-motion maker with unusually spread revenue, and the 10-K notes that ⟦"No single customer accounts for more than 5% of total net sales"⟧, a diversification that showed up in first-quarter 2026 sales up 8% with beats on both lines and full-year adjusted EPS guidance raised to $5.75 to $6.25 [Source: Timken Q1 2026 results, May 6, 2026]. • The biggest risk is the cycle itself: the filing concedes that revenues and earnings move with overall industrial productio
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513 institutional managers reported holding TKR in 13F filings for the quarter ended 2026-03-31. Together they hold about 87% of the company; the top 10 hold 39%. 104 opened new positions that quarter. Held by Vanguard Group, BlackRock, Dimensional Fund Advisors, among others. On the short side, 3.3M shares were sold short as of the 2026-06-15 count, about 5% of shares outstanding (2.9 days of typical volume to cover).
Quarterly 13F filings arrive up to 45 days after quarter end, so the picture is never current (filed through 2026-05-29). Nothing here is investment advice.
TKR has cut its share count 8.6% over the past five years, spending $655.10M on repurchases. It pays a dividend, and has paid one every year in our records (17 and counting), raised 12 years straight; the current rate is $1.39 a share annually. Cash returned over the past three years: $266.30M in dividends and $222.30M in repurchases.
Share counts are split-adjusted; repurchase totals are gross of share issuance. Nothing here is investment advice.
No open-market insider buys on file at TKR over the trailing three years. Absence is a fact about the company, not a signal. 20 officers and directors are on file.
Code P open-market purchases from SEC Form 4 filings, non-derivative, excluding scheduled 10b5-1 plans. Nothing here is investment advice.
TKR's recent reports: the day-one move, then what the following quarter actually did.
| report | day one | next quarter |
|---|---|---|
| 2023-08-04 | -11.4% | -9.2% |
| 2023-11-02 | +2.6% | +10.1% |
| 2024-02-27 | -5.6% | +6.8% |
| 2024-05-01 | +0.9% | -8.7% |
Day-one is the close-to-close move around the filing. Nothing here is investment advice.
TKR's latest 8-K filings: 2026-08-04 (items 2.02, 9.01); 2026-07-31 (items 5.02, 8.01); 2026-07-06 (items 1.01, 2.03, 9.01); 2026-05-08 (items 5.02, 5.07, 9.01); 2026-05-06 (items 2.02, 9.01).
Item codes are the SEC's own classification of what each report discloses. Dates link to the filing on EDGAR. Nothing here is investment advice.
Model solve date: 2026-Q2
Narrative composed: July 11, 2026
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For informational and research purposes only. Not investment advice. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. boothcheck is not a registered investment adviser. Past performance does not guarantee future results.