Qfin Holdings, Inc.
boothcheck covers Qfin Holdings, Inc. (QFIN) but does not put one priced-in number on it: here the defensible answer is the evidence rather than a point estimate. boothcheck publishes no house fair value, target price, or buy/sell rating. Narrative composed June 28, 2026.
At $15.20 the stock trades near 4 times earnings, a roughly 23% earnings yield. Read as a capital-light fee business, the price sits below what even a 5%-a-year decline in fee earnings would justify. The multiple is pricing deterioration, not stability. That deterioration is real and recent. First-quarter 2026 loan facilitation volume fell about 27% year over year, and management has guided to a 51% to 53% drop in net income, with lower lending rates squeezing the take rate. A cheap multiple on
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167 institutional managers reported holding QFIN in 13F filings for the quarter ended 2026-03-31. Together they hold about 27% of the company; the top 10 hold 15%. 24 opened new positions that quarter. Held by BlackRock, Vanguard Group, D. E. Shaw, among others. On the short side, 3.0M shares were sold short as of the 2026-06-15 count, about 1% of shares outstanding (1.6 days of typical volume to cover).
Quarterly 13F filings arrive up to 45 days after quarter end, so the picture is never current (filed through 2026-05-29). Nothing here is investment advice.
QFIN has cut its share count 13.3% over the past five years, spending $1.19B on repurchases. It pays a dividend, and has for 4 years running, raised 2 years straight. Cash returned over the past three years: $502.72M in dividends and $1.19B in repurchases.
Share counts are split-adjusted; repurchase totals are gross of share issuance. Nothing here is investment advice.
Open-market insider buys at QFIN over the trailing three years: 2026: 2 buys totaling $2.51M. 5 officers and directors are on file.
Code P open-market purchases from SEC Form 4 filings, non-derivative, excluding scheduled 10b5-1 plans. Nothing here is investment advice.
Model solve date: 2026-Q2
Narrative composed: June 28, 2026
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For informational and research purposes only. Not investment advice. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. boothcheck is not a registered investment adviser. Past performance does not guarantee future results.