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NSC

NORFOLK SOUTHERN CORP

In the published model solve dated 2026-Q2, anchored at $348.68, NORFOLK SOUTHERN CORP (NSC) is priced for +16.8% growth. boothcheck publishes no house fair value, target price, or buy/sell rating; individual model outputs and user-controlled scenarios are analytical inputs, not Boothcheck targets. The narrative was composed June 27, 2026 from SEC EDGAR filings.

Published model solve
+16.8% growth
Priced In
within-range

Key Takeaways

• Norfolk Southern runs one of the two big eastern U.S. freight railroads, moving merchandise, intermodal containers, and coal across a network that is effectively impossible to replicate, with a 70.7% operating ratio in the first quarter of 2026. • The story is the pending Union Pacific merger: NSC holders would receive 1.0 UNP share plus $88.82 cash, a deal valued near $320 per share, but the price sits below that because regulatory approval is uncertain and far off. • The next markers are the

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Institutional ownership

1,784 institutional managers reported holding NSC in 13F filings for the quarter ended 2026-03-31. Together they hold about 74% of the company; the top 10 hold 33%. 102 opened new positions that quarter. Held by Vanguard Group, BlackRock, State Street, among others. On the short side, 8.2M shares were sold short as of the 2026-06-15 count, about 4% of shares outstanding (8.6 days of typical volume to cover).

Quarterly 13F filings arrive up to 45 days after quarter end, so the picture is never current (filed through 2026-05-29). Nothing here is investment advice.

Capital returns

NSC has cut its share count 9.8% over the past five years, spending $6.14B on repurchases. It pays a dividend, and has paid one every year in our records (18 and counting); the current rate is $5.40 a share annually. Cash returned over the past three years: $3.35B in dividends and $858.00M in repurchases.

Share counts are split-adjusted; repurchase totals are gross of share issuance. Nothing here is investment advice.

Insider activity

Open-market insider buys at NSC over the trailing three years: 2024: 19 buys totaling $5.29M; 2025: 4 buys totaling $1.42M. 13 officers and directors are on file.

Code P open-market purchases from SEC Form 4 filings, non-derivative, excluding scheduled 10b5-1 plans. Nothing here is investment advice.

Earnings reactions

NSC's recent reports: the day-one move, then what the following quarter actually did.

reportday onenext quarter
2023-07-28-0.1%-16.8%
2023-10-26-5.6%+27.6%
2024-02-06+6.7%+0.6%
2024-04-25-1.7%-12.8%

Day-one is the close-to-close move around the filing. Nothing here is investment advice.

Recent filings

NSC's latest 8-K filings: 2026-07-23 (items 2.02, 7.01, 9.01); 2026-06-01 (items 5.02, 7.01, 9.01); 2026-05-08 (items 5.07); 2026-04-24 (items 2.02, 7.01, 9.01); 2026-04-02 (items 1.01, 9.01).

Item codes are the SEC's own classification of what each report discloses. Dates link to the filing on EDGAR. Nothing here is investment advice.

Compare NSC

CNI vs NSCCP vs NSCCSX vs NSCNSC vs UNP

Model solve date: 2026-Q2
Narrative composed: June 27, 2026

For informational and research purposes only. Not investment advice. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. boothcheck is not a registered investment adviser. Past performance does not guarantee future results.