Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc.
In the published model solve dated 2026-Q2, anchored at $44.56, Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. (KTOS) is priced for today's economics sustained for ~28.9 years. boothcheck publishes no house fair value, target price, or buy/sell rating; individual model outputs and user-controlled scenarios are analytical inputs, not Boothcheck targets. The narrative was composed June 27, 2026 from SEC EDGAR filings.
• Kratos builds low-cost military hardware, target drones, the Valkyrie combat drone, tactical jet engines, hypersonic and rocket systems, competing on affordability rather than premium engineering in a defense budget tilting toward exactly those categories. • The price is the defining risk: at a multiple of several hundred times its current operating income, the stock prices decades of flawless growth, because today's operating margin is barely above breakeven at 1.7%. • Watch backlog and the c
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691 institutional managers reported holding KTOS in 13F filings for the quarter ended 2026-03-31. Together they hold about 92% of the company; the top 10 hold 48%. 118 opened new positions that quarter. Held by BlackRock, Vanguard Group, State Street, among others. On the short side, 14.5M shares were sold short as of the 2026-06-15 count, about 8% of shares outstanding (3.6 days of typical volume to cover).
Quarterly 13F filings arrive up to 45 days after quarter end, so the picture is never current (filed through 2026-05-29). Nothing here is investment advice.
KTOS's share count grew 41.8% over the past five years. It pays no dividend.
Share counts are split-adjusted; repurchase totals are gross of share issuance. Nothing here is investment advice.
Open-market insider buys at KTOS over the trailing three years: 2024: 4 buys totaling $501k; 2025: 2 buys totaling $501k. 18 officers and directors are on file.
Code P open-market purchases from SEC Form 4 filings, non-derivative, excluding scheduled 10b5-1 plans. Nothing here is investment advice.
KTOS's recent reports: the day-one move, then what the following quarter actually did.
| report | day one | next quarter |
|---|---|---|
| 2023-08-04 | +12.8% | -8.9% |
| 2023-11-03 | +0.3% | +6.0% |
| 2024-02-14 | +13.1% | -14.7% |
| 2024-05-08 | +4.2% | +4.0% |
Day-one is the close-to-close move around the filing. Nothing here is investment advice.
KTOS's latest 8-K filings: 2026-05-15 (items 5.07, 9.01); 2026-05-06 (items 2.02, 9.01); 2026-03-25 (items 5.02); 2026-03-06 (items 2.01, 9.01); 2026-03-02 (items 1.01, 8.01, 9.01).
Item codes are the SEC's own classification of what each report discloses. Dates link to the filing on EDGAR. Nothing here is investment advice.
Model solve date: 2026-Q2
Narrative composed: June 27, 2026
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For informational and research purposes only. Not investment advice. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. boothcheck is not a registered investment adviser. Past performance does not guarantee future results.