SAMSARA INC.
In the published model solve dated 2026-Q2, anchored at $39.20, SAMSARA INC. (IOT) is priced for today's economics sustained for ~18.7 years. boothcheck publishes no house fair value, target price, or buy/sell rating; individual model outputs and user-controlled scenarios are analytical inputs, not Boothcheck targets. The narrative was composed June 27, 2026 from SEC EDGAR filings.
• Samsara sells a connected-operations platform: sensors and software that put trucks, equipment, and field assets online so companies running the physical economy can see and manage them in real time. • The defining strength is durable, accelerating growth: ending annual recurring revenue reached $1.991 billion, up 30%, with $1M-plus customers growing ARR 62% year over year [Source: Samsara Q1 FY2027 earnings release]. • The defining risk is the price: only the forward-growth method reaches it,
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517 institutional managers reported holding IOT in 13F filings for the quarter ended 2026-03-31. Together they hold about 62% of the company; the top 10 hold 39%. 85 opened new positions that quarter. Held by Baillie Gifford, T. Rowe Price, Vanguard Group, among others. On the short side, 41.9M shares were sold short as of the 2026-06-15 count, about 7% of shares outstanding (4.7 days of typical volume to cover).
Quarterly 13F filings arrive up to 45 days after quarter end, so the picture is never current (filed through 2026-05-29). Nothing here is investment advice.
IOT's share count grew 136.2% over the past five years even with $4k spent on repurchases. It pays no dividend.
Share counts are split-adjusted; repurchase totals are gross of share issuance. Nothing here is investment advice.
No open-market insider buys on file at IOT over the trailing three years. Absence is a fact about the company, not a signal. 15 officers and directors are on file.
Code P open-market purchases from SEC Form 4 filings, non-derivative, excluding scheduled 10b5-1 plans. Nothing here is investment advice.
IOT's recent reports: the day-one move, then what the following quarter actually did.
| report | day one | next quarter |
|---|---|---|
| 2023-06-07 | +26.2% | -10.7% |
| 2023-09-06 | +15.6% | -21.4% |
| 2023-12-06 | +23.1% | -6.4% |
| 2024-03-27 | +17.6% | -1.9% |
Day-one is the close-to-close move around the filing. Nothing here is investment advice.
IOT's latest 8-K filings: 2026-07-23 (items 5.07); 2026-06-04 (items 2.02, 9.01); 2026-06-01 (items 3.03, 5.03, 9.01); 2026-05-01 (items 5.07); 2026-03-05 (items 2.02, 9.01).
Item codes are the SEC's own classification of what each report discloses. Dates link to the filing on EDGAR. Nothing here is investment advice.
Model solve date: 2026-Q2
Narrative composed: June 27, 2026
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For informational and research purposes only. Not investment advice. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. boothcheck is not a registered investment adviser. Past performance does not guarantee future results.