Hilltop Holdings Inc.
In the published model solve dated 2026-Q2, anchored at $39.65, Hilltop Holdings Inc. (HTH) is priced for 10.2% return on equity. boothcheck publishes no house fair value, target price, or buy/sell rating; individual model outputs and user-controlled scenarios are analytical inputs, not Boothcheck targets. The narrative was composed June 27, 2026 from SEC EDGAR filings.
• Hilltop is a diversified Texas financial holding company, combining PlainsCapital Bank, the PrimeLending mortgage business, and the HilltopSecurities broker-dealer, so its results are a blend of net interest income, mortgage gains, and fee revenue rather than a single bank engine. • The clearest risk is profitability: it earned a return on equity of about 7.1% in the first quarter, below its cost of equity, with PrimeLending posting a pretax loss as the mortgage market stays pressured by rate
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221 institutional managers reported holding HTH in 13F filings for the quarter ended 2026-03-31. Together they hold about 55% of the company; the top 10 hold 35%. 33 opened new positions that quarter. Held by BlackRock, Vanguard Group, Dimensional Fund Advisors, among others. On the short side, 2.1M shares were sold short as of the 2026-06-15 count, about 4% of shares outstanding (8.4 days of typical volume to cover).
Quarterly 13F filings arrive up to 45 days after quarter end, so the picture is never current (filed through 2026-05-29). Nothing here is investment advice.
HTH has cut its share count 27.6% over the past five years, spending $773.03M on repurchases. It pays a dividend, and has for 9 years running, raised 8 years straight; the current rate is $0.72 a share annually. Cash returned over the past three years: $122.31M in dividends and $252.03M in repurchases.
Share counts are split-adjusted; repurchase totals are gross of share issuance. Nothing here is investment advice.
Open-market insider buys at HTH over the trailing three years: 2025: 10 buys totaling $3.36M. 20 officers and directors are on file.
Code P open-market purchases from SEC Form 4 filings, non-derivative, excluding scheduled 10b5-1 plans. Nothing here is investment advice.
HTH's recent reports: the day-one move, then what the following quarter actually did.
| report | day one | next quarter |
|---|---|---|
| 2023-04-25 | +3.2% | +3.6% |
| 2023-07-25 | -4.3% | -3.9% |
| 2023-10-24 | -3.5% | +30.3% |
| 2024-02-15 | -1.5% | -8.0% |
Day-one is the close-to-close move around the filing. Nothing here is investment advice.
HTH's latest 8-K filings: 2026-07-24 (items 5.07); 2026-07-23 (items 7.01, 9.01); 2026-07-23 (items 2.02, 8.01, 9.01); 2026-04-28 (items 5.02); 2026-04-23 (items 7.01, 9.01).
Item codes are the SEC's own classification of what each report discloses. Dates link to the filing on EDGAR. Nothing here is investment advice.
Model solve date: 2026-Q2
Narrative composed: June 27, 2026
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For informational and research purposes only. Not investment advice. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. boothcheck is not a registered investment adviser. Past performance does not guarantee future results.