Warrior Met Coal, Inc.
boothcheck covers Warrior Met Coal, Inc. (HCC) but does not put one priced-in number on it: here the defensible answer is the evidence rather than a point estimate. boothcheck publishes no house fair value, target price, or buy/sell rating. Narrative composed June 27, 2026.
• Warrior Met Coal just completed its Blue Creek mine ahead of schedule and entirely from operating cash, with total project spend of $1,022.9 million and no new debt, shifting the company from a heavy-build phase to a ramp-and-harvest phase. [Source: HCC Q1 2026 results, April 2026] • The single variable that governs everything is the steelmaking coal price: Warrior is a single-product cyclical, and Q1 2026 net income swung to $72.3 million from a year-earlier loss almost entirely on volume gro
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332 institutional managers reported holding HCC in 13F filings for the quarter ended 2026-03-31. Together they hold about 93% of the company; the top 10 hold 57%. 60 opened new positions that quarter. Held by BlackRock, Vanguard Group, State Street, among others. On the short side, 4.1M shares were sold short as of the 2026-06-15 count, about 8% of shares outstanding (4.8 days of typical volume to cover).
Quarterly 13F filings arrive up to 45 days after quarter end, so the picture is never current (filed through 2026-05-29). Nothing here is investment advice.
HCC's share count grew 2.5% over the past five years. It pays a dividend, and has paid one every year in our records (9 and counting); the current rate is $0.32 a share annually. Cash returned over the past three years: $73.76M in dividends.
Share counts are split-adjusted; repurchase totals are gross of share issuance. Nothing here is investment advice.
Open-market insider buys at HCC over the trailing three years: 2024: 1 buy totaling $116k; 2025: 1 buy totaling $84k. 10 officers and directors are on file.
Code P open-market purchases from SEC Form 4 filings, non-derivative, excluding scheduled 10b5-1 plans. Nothing here is investment advice.
HCC's recent reports: the day-one move, then what the following quarter actually did.
| report | day one | next quarter |
|---|---|---|
| 2023-05-04 | +6.5% | +8.5% |
| 2023-08-03 | -14.7% | +29.9% |
| 2023-11-02 | -0.1% | +35.1% |
| 2024-05-02 | -4.2% | +11.9% |
Day-one is the close-to-close move around the filing. Nothing here is investment advice.
HCC's latest 8-K filings: 2026-04-30 (items 2.02, 9.01); 2026-04-21 (items 5.02, 5.07, 9.01); 2026-02-12 (items 2.02, 9.01); 2026-01-16 (items 1.01, 2.03); 2025-11-05 (items 2.02, 9.01).
Item codes are the SEC's own classification of what each report discloses. Dates link to the filing on EDGAR. Nothing here is investment advice.
Model solve date: 2026-Q2
Narrative composed: June 27, 2026
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For informational and research purposes only. Not investment advice. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. boothcheck is not a registered investment adviser. Past performance does not guarantee future results.