THE CHEESECAKE FACTORY INCORPORATED
In the published model solve dated 2026-Q2, anchored at $99.98, THE CHEESECAKE FACTORY INCORPORATED (CAKE) is priced for +21.8% growth. boothcheck publishes no house fair value, target price, or buy/sell rating; individual model outputs and user-controlled scenarios are analytical inputs, not Boothcheck targets. The narrative was composed July 25, 2026 from SEC EDGAR filings.
• The competitive advantage here is volume through a single box, and the FY2025 10-K names what that buys: ⟦sales productivity of our restaurants provides opportunities to obtain competitive leasing terms from landlords⟧. • The pressure point is who walks in the door, with the same filing reporting an average check up 2.4% on ⟦an increase of 4.3% in menu pricing, partially offset by a 1.9% negative change from menu mix⟧ and customer traffic down 2.3%. • Second-quarter results are due after the c
Is CAKE overvalued? See what's priced in →
320 institutional managers reported holding CAKE in 13F filings for the quarter ended 2026-03-31. 47 opened new positions that quarter. Held by BlackRock, FMR (Fidelity), Vanguard Group, among others. On the short side, 8.8M shares were sold short as of the 2026-06-15 count, about 18% of shares outstanding (6.1 days of typical volume to cover).
Quarterly 13F filings arrive up to 45 days after quarter end, so the picture is never current (filed through 2026-05-29). Nothing here is investment advice.
CAKE's share count grew 2.4% over the past five years even with $302.86M spent on repurchases. It pays a dividend, and has for 14 years running; the current rate is $1.08 a share annually. Cash returned over the past three years: $159.49M in dividends and $226.15M in repurchases.
Share counts are split-adjusted; repurchase totals are gross of share issuance. Nothing here is investment advice.
No open-market insider buys on file at CAKE over the trailing three years. Absence is a fact about the company, not a signal. 10 officers and directors are on file.
Code P open-market purchases from SEC Form 4 filings, non-derivative, excluding scheduled 10b5-1 plans. Nothing here is investment advice.
CAKE's recent reports: the day-one move, then what the following quarter actually did.
| report | day one | next quarter |
|---|---|---|
| 2023-08-08 | +0.3% | -15.2% |
| 2023-11-07 | -2.7% | +10.9% |
| 2024-02-27 | +1.6% | -2.7% |
| 2024-05-09 | +6.0% | +4.7% |
Day-one is the close-to-close move around the filing. Nothing here is investment advice.
CAKE's latest 8-K filings: 2026-07-28 (items 2.02, 7.01, 8.01, 9.01); 2026-06-03 (items 5.07); 2026-04-29 (items 2.02, 7.01, 8.01, 9.01); 2026-03-31 (items 1.01, 2.03); 2026-02-18 (items 2.02, 7.01, 8.01, 9.01).
Item codes are the SEC's own classification of what each report discloses. Dates link to the filing on EDGAR. Nothing here is investment advice.
Model solve date: 2026-Q2
Narrative composed: July 25, 2026
Each week boothcheck ranks the stocks whose prices are betting on the most. Read the most stretched bets archive →
boothcheck is also on Android. Get the app on Google Play →
For informational and research purposes only. Not investment advice. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. boothcheck is not a registered investment adviser. Past performance does not guarantee future results.