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BBAI

BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc.

At today's price, BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. (BBAI) is priced for today's economics sustained for ~22.9 years. boothcheck doesn't publish a fair value or a price target; it shows what the price assumes, so you can judge whether that bar is too high. Built from SEC EDGAR filings.

Live priced in
today's economics sustained for ~22.9 years
Priced In
elevated

Key Takeaways

• BigBear.ai sells AI software and analytics mainly to U.S. defense and intelligence agencies, and the trajectory that matters is margin and backlog: first-quarter 2026 gross margin jumped to 34.0% from 21.3% a year earlier, and backlog grew 14% sequentially to $281.9 million [Source: BigBear.ai Q1 2026 results]. • The biggest risk is the price relative to a money-losing business: the stock trades at roughly 11 times revenue while the company posted a $56.8 million quarterly net loss and is stil

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Institutional ownership

315 institutional managers reported holding BBAI in 13F filings for the quarter ended 2026-03-31. Together they hold about 39% of the company; the top 10 hold 28%. 45 opened new positions that quarter. Held by BlackRock, Vanguard Group, UBS, among others. On the short side, 138.1M shares were sold short as of the 2026-06-15 count, about 29% of shares outstanding (3.2 days of typical volume to cover).

Quarterly 13F filings arrive up to 45 days after quarter end, so the picture is never current (filed through 2026-05-29). Nothing here is investment advice.

Insider activity

Open-market insider buys at BBAI over the trailing three years: 2023: 1 buy totaling $96k; 2024: 1 buy totaling $210k. 21 officers and directors are on file.

Code P open-market purchases from SEC Form 4 filings, non-derivative, excluding scheduled 10b5-1 plans. Nothing here is investment advice.

Earnings reactions

BBAI's recent reports: the day-one move, then what the following quarter actually did.

reportday onenext quarter
2023-05-16-8.6%-15.2%
2023-08-11-13.7%-23.2%
2023-11-10+0.7%+27.6%
2024-05-11-13.9%+15.4%

Day-one is the close-to-close move around the filing. Nothing here is investment advice.

Recent filings

BBAI's latest 8-K filings: 2026-06-12 (items 5.03, 5.07, 9.01); 2026-05-05 (items 2.02, 9.01); 2026-04-22 (items 5.07); 2026-03-02 (items 2.02, 9.01); 2026-01-02 (items 7.01, 8.01, 9.01).

Item codes are the SEC's own classification of what each report discloses. Nothing here is investment advice.

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Last analyzed: June 27, 2026

For informational and research purposes only. Not investment advice. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. boothcheck is not a registered investment adviser. Past performance does not guarantee future results.