Alcoa Corp
At today's price, Alcoa Corp (AA) is priced for +4.8% growth. boothcheck doesn't publish a fair value or a price target; it shows what the price assumes, so you can judge whether that bar is too high. Built from SEC EDGAR filings.
- At $59, the price is asset-supported rather than a growth bet. The book-value and excess-return methods cluster between roughly $42 and $54, close to where the stock trades, while the implied alumina-segment growth of about 17.7% a year for five years sits within the historical range that comparable fast-growers have actually delivered. - The single number that decides the thesis is the metal price, not anything Alcoa controls. The FY2025 10-K states plainly that LME price volatility is typica
Is AA overvalued? See what's priced in →
734 institutional managers reported holding AA in 13F filings for the quarter ended 2026-03-31. Together they hold about 75% of the company; the top 10 hold 45%. 183 opened new positions that quarter. Held by BlackRock, Vanguard Group, FMR (Fidelity), among others. On the short side, 8.1M shares were sold short as of the 2026-06-15 count, about 3% of shares outstanding (1.5 days of typical volume to cover).
Quarterly 13F filings arrive up to 45 days after quarter end, so the picture is never current (filed through 2026-05-29). Nothing here is investment advice.
AA's share count grew 41.2% over the past five years even with $650.00M spent on repurchases. It pays a dividend, and has for 5 years running; the current rate is $0.10 a share annually. Cash returned over the past three years: $256.00M in dividends.
Share counts are split-adjusted; repurchase totals are gross of share issuance. Nothing here is investment advice.
No open-market insider buys on file at AA over the trailing three years. Absence is a fact about the company, not a signal. 19 officers and directors are on file.
Code P open-market purchases from SEC Form 4 filings, non-derivative, excluding scheduled 10b5-1 plans. Nothing here is investment advice.
AA's recent reports: the day-one move, then what the following quarter actually did.
| report | day one | next quarter |
|---|---|---|
| 2023-07-28 | +6.7% | -16.4% |
| 2023-10-27 | -12.7% | +44.6% |
| 2024-02-22 | +2.3% | +29.5% |
| 2024-05-03 | -1.7% | +15.4% |
Day-one is the close-to-close move around the filing. Nothing here is investment advice.
AA's latest 8-K filings: 2026-07-02 (items 1.01, 8.01, 9.01); 2026-07-01 (items 7.01, 9.01); 2026-05-11 (items 5.02, 5.07, 9.01); 2026-05-04 (items 1.01, 2.03, 9.01); 2026-04-16 (items 2.02, 9.01).
Item codes are the SEC's own classification of what each report discloses. Nothing here is investment advice.
Last analyzed: June 27, 2026
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For informational and research purposes only. Not investment advice. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. boothcheck is not a registered investment adviser. Past performance does not guarantee future results.