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Is CAT overvalued?

boothcheck doesn't label CAT overvalued or undervalued, and it doesn't publish a fair value. It shows what the price assumes instead. At today's price, CAT is priced for today's economics sustained for about 10 years, and an operating margin near 34.5% versus the 16.4% it earns today. Asset, earnings-power and peer-multiple models all land far below the price; ONLY the growth-DCF reaches it. The bet is durable compounding the static frames structurally cannot price (a moat/durability premium). The more the price assumes beyond what CATERPILLAR INC has actually delivered, the more has to go right to justify it. Whether that bar is too high is your call, and the full bull and bear cases are in the report.

Derived from CATERPILLAR INC's SEC EDGAR filings via a reverse-DCF inversion. Last analyzed June 27, 2026.

Implied growth
For about10 yrs
Margin needed34.5%
Margin today16.4%
Price vs asset value3.45x
Price vs earnings power6.65x
Price vs peer multiples2.46x
Price vs forward growth1.08x
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For informational and research purposes only. Not investment advice. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. boothcheck is not a registered investment adviser. Past performance does not guarantee future results.