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Is AAON overvalued?

boothcheck doesn't label AAON overvalued or undervalued, and it doesn't publish a fair value. It shows what the price assumes instead. At today's price, AAON is priced for today's economics sustained for about 14 years, and an operating margin near 10.2% versus the 10.5% it earns today. Asset, earnings-power and peer-multiple models all land far below the price; ONLY the growth-DCF reaches it. The bet is durable compounding the static frames structurally cannot price (a moat/durability premium). The more the price assumes beyond what AAON, INC. has actually delivered, the more has to go right to justify it. Whether that bar is too high is your call, and the full bull and bear cases are in the report.

Derived from AAON, INC.'s SEC EDGAR filings via a reverse-DCF inversion. Last analyzed June 27, 2026.

Implied growth
For about14 yrs
Margin needed10.2%
Margin today10.5%
Price vs asset value6.20x
Price vs earnings power7.23x
Price vs peer multiples2.31x
Price vs forward growth1.01x
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For informational and research purposes only. Not investment advice. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. boothcheck is not a registered investment adviser. Past performance does not guarantee future results.