Alcoa Corp vs AXALTA COATING SYSTEMS LTD.. A side-by-side on valuation, growth, margins, returns, and what each price is betting.
Where AA and AXTA diverge most: on revenue growth, AA reads +0.2% and AXTA reads -2.5%; on implied growth (priced in), AA reads +4.8% and AXTA reads +1.0%. The rest of the comparable metrics sit closer together. On valuation, today's AA price has a different growth bar priced in than AXTA (+4.8% implied for AA vs +1.0% for AXTA); the higher figure is the steeper assumption to clear, not a better or worse stock. What AA's price implies is a bet that sits within the historical range (segment-resolved basis). What AXTA's price implies is a bet that sits within the historical range (whole-company basis). The bull and bear cases for each are in their full reports below.
| Metric | AA | AXTA |
|---|---|---|
| Price | $48.66 | $32.48 |
| Market cap | $12.9B | $7.0B |
| Sector | Steel | Specialty Chemicals |
| Stage | Cyclical | Mature |
| Implied growth (priced in) | +4.8% | +1.0% |
| P/E | 12.5 | 19.0 |
| P/B | 1.90 | 2.83 |
| P/S | 1.02 | 1.36 |
| EV/EBITDA | 18.4 | 6.3 |
| Revenue growth | +0.2% | -2.5% |
| Operating margin | — | 11.6% |
| Net margin | 8.2% | 7.2% |
| Return on equity | 15.2% | 15.0% |
| Return on assets | 6.2% | 4.9% |
| Return on invested capital | — | 24.6% |
| FCF yield | 2.2% | 7.0% |
| Dividend yield | 0.2% | — |
| Debt / equity | 0.02 | 0.01 |
| Current ratio | 1.48 | 2.10 |
| Altman Z (solvency) | 1.70 | 2.19 |
| Piotroski F (quality) | 4 / 9 | 6 / 9 |
Each week boothcheck ranks the stocks whose prices are betting on the most. Read the most stretched bets archive →
boothcheck is also on Android. Get the app on Google Play →
The stronger value is highlighted per metric where one is strictly better on that single number; it is not an overall verdict on either company. For informational and research purposes only. Not investment advice. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. boothcheck is not a registered investment adviser. Past performance does not guarantee future results.